With rehearsals set to begin May 1 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final market heavily favors qualification frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas, Sweden's "My System" by Felicia, and Israel's "Michelle" by Noam Bettan, driven by their high-energy pop entries, strong pre-event streaming buzz, and historical Nordic/Balkan televote appeal. Recent running order reveal on April 2 positioned Moldova's upbeat opener "Viva, Moldova!" and Croatia's "Andromeda" favorably, boosting their odds amid diaspora support, while battles rage for the last two spots among Lithuania, Montenegro, and Georgia. First dress rehearsals and jury shows next week could spark volatility as staging and live charisma emerge, with 10 of 15 advancing to the May 16 Grand Final.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEurovision 2026: prima semifinale
Eurovision 2026: prima semifinale
$496,424 Vol.
12 mag 2026
Finlandia
98%
Svezia
97%
Grecia
97%
Israele
92%
Moldavia
88%
Croazia
78%
Serbia
78%
Lituania
65%
Montenegro
54%
Georgia
47%
Polonia
45%
Estonia
40%
Portogallo
40%
Belgio
31%
San Marino
18%
$496,424 Vol.
Finlandia
$336,221 Vol.
98%
Svezia
$4,129 Vol.
97%
Grecia
$5,141 Vol.
97%
Israele
$19,737 Vol.
92%
Moldavia
$19,000 Vol.
88%
Croazia
$8,691 Vol.
78%
Serbia
$6,391 Vol.
78%
Lituania
$3,642 Vol.
65%
Montenegro
$7,758 Vol.
54%
Georgia
$5,248 Vol.
47%
Polonia
$9,057 Vol.
45%
Estonia
$17,204 Vol.
40%
Portogallo
$35,039 Vol.
40%
Belgio
$10,151 Vol.
31%
San Marino
$9,014 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With rehearsals set to begin May 1 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final market heavily favors qualification frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas, Sweden's "My System" by Felicia, and Israel's "Michelle" by Noam Bettan, driven by their high-energy pop entries, strong pre-event streaming buzz, and historical Nordic/Balkan televote appeal. Recent running order reveal on April 2 positioned Moldova's upbeat opener "Viva, Moldova!" and Croatia's "Andromeda" favorably, boosting their odds amid diaspora support, while battles rage for the last two spots among Lithuania, Montenegro, and Georgia. First dress rehearsals and jury shows next week could spark volatility as staging and live charisma emerge, with 10 of 15 advancing to the May 16 Grand Final.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volume
$496,424Data di fine
12 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With rehearsals set to begin May 1 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final market heavily favors qualification frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas, Sweden's "My System" by Felicia, and Israel's "Michelle" by Noam Bettan, driven by their high-energy pop entries, strong pre-event streaming buzz, and historical Nordic/Balkan televote appeal. Recent running order reveal on April 2 positioned Moldova's upbeat opener "Viva, Moldova!" and Croatia's "Andromeda" favorably, boosting their odds amid diaspora support, while battles rage for the last two spots among Lithuania, Montenegro, and Georgia. First dress rehearsals and jury shows next week could spark volatility as staging and live charisma emerge, with 10 of 15 advancing to the May 16 Grand Final.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$496,424Data di fine
12 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With rehearsals set to begin May 1 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final market heavily favors qualification frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's "Ferto" by Akylas, Sweden's "My System" by Felicia, and Israel's "Michelle" by Noam Bettan, driven by their high-energy pop entries, strong pre-event streaming buzz, and historical Nordic/Balkan televote appeal. Recent running order reveal on April 2 positioned Moldova's upbeat opener "Viva, Moldova!" and Croatia's "Andromeda" favorably, boosting their odds amid diaspora support, while battles rage for the last two spots among Lithuania, Montenegro, and Georgia. First dress rehearsals and jury shows next week could spark volatility as staging and live charisma emerge, with 10 of 15 advancing to the May 16 Grand Final.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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