Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final market reflects overwhelming confidence in frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's Akylas with "Ferto," Israel's Michelle Noam Bettan, and Sweden's FELICIA "My System," driven by standout dress rehearsals on May 11 that showcased dynamic staging and televote potential. Standout previews elevated Croatia's LELEK "Andromeda," Moldova's Satoshi "Viva, Moldova!," and Serbia's LAVINA "Kraj Mene" via diaspora support, while Poland and Lithuania edged tighter races amid 15 entrants' competition. Running order revealed April 2 positioned strong openers favorably; results from tonight's Vienna show at Wiener Stadthalle will confirm the 10 grand final qualifiers, who drew halves post-announcement, with the second semi-final Thursday and final Saturday.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEurovision 2026: prima semifinale
Eurovision 2026: prima semifinale
$1,064,557 Vol.
12 mag 2026
Israele
Sì
Estonia
No
Montenegro
No
San Marino
No
Belgio
Sì
Finlandia
Sì
Grecia
Sì
Lituania
Sì
Moldavia
Sì
Polonia
Sì
Portogallo
No
Svezia
Sì
Croazia
Sì
Georgia
No
Serbia
Sì
$1,064,557 Vol.
Israele
$52,867 Vol.
Sì
Estonia
$77,510 Vol.
No
Montenegro
$32,447 Vol.
No
San Marino
$35,020 Vol.
No
Belgio
$39,093 Vol.
Sì
Finlandia
$394,351 Vol.
Sì
Grecia
$59,682 Vol.
Sì
Lituania
$32,279 Vol.
Sì
Moldavia
$57,971 Vol.
Sì
Polonia
$52,349 Vol.
Sì
Portogallo
$77,624 Vol.
No
Svezia
$19,701 Vol.
Sì
Croazia
$21,041 Vol.
Sì
Georgia
$47,954 Vol.
No
Serbia
$64,670 Vol.
Sì
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final market reflects overwhelming confidence in frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's Akylas with "Ferto," Israel's Michelle Noam Bettan, and Sweden's FELICIA "My System," driven by standout dress rehearsals on May 11 that showcased dynamic staging and televote potential. Standout previews elevated Croatia's LELEK "Andromeda," Moldova's Satoshi "Viva, Moldova!," and Serbia's LAVINA "Kraj Mene" via diaspora support, while Poland and Lithuania edged tighter races amid 15 entrants' competition. Running order revealed April 2 positioned strong openers favorably; results from tonight's Vienna show at Wiener Stadthalle will confirm the 10 grand final qualifiers, who drew halves post-announcement, with the second semi-final Thursday and final Saturday.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Mercato aperto: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,064,557Data di fine
12 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final market reflects overwhelming confidence in frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's Akylas with "Ferto," Israel's Michelle Noam Bettan, and Sweden's FELICIA "My System," driven by standout dress rehearsals on May 11 that showcased dynamic staging and televote potential. Standout previews elevated Croatia's LELEK "Andromeda," Moldova's Satoshi "Viva, Moldova!," and Serbia's LAVINA "Kraj Mene" via diaspora support, while Poland and Lithuania edged tighter races amid 15 entrants' competition. Running order revealed April 2 positioned strong openers favorably; results from tonight's Vienna show at Wiener Stadthalle will confirm the 10 grand final qualifiers, who drew halves post-announcement, with the second semi-final Thursday and final Saturday.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$1,064,557Data di fine
12 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: Sì
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: Sì
Trader consensus in the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final market reflects overwhelming confidence in frontrunners like Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen, Greece's Akylas with "Ferto," Israel's Michelle Noam Bettan, and Sweden's FELICIA "My System," driven by standout dress rehearsals on May 11 that showcased dynamic staging and televote potential. Standout previews elevated Croatia's LELEK "Andromeda," Moldova's Satoshi "Viva, Moldova!," and Serbia's LAVINA "Kraj Mene" via diaspora support, while Poland and Lithuania edged tighter races amid 15 entrants' competition. Running order revealed April 2 positioned strong openers favorably; results from tonight's Vienna show at Wiener Stadthalle will confirm the 10 grand final qualifiers, who drew halves post-announcement, with the second semi-final Thursday and final Saturday.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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