David Harbour’s commanding 66.8% implied probability in the Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie market stems primarily from the HBO Max dark comedy “DTF St. Louis,” which earned 13 Emmy nominations and positioned him as the clear frontrunner among multiple cast contenders. Precursor buzz, including strong reviews and guild attention for his raw performance, has consolidated trader consensus around Harbour ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Charles Melton’s 24.4% share reflects his first nomination for the Netflix “Beef” Season 2 role, supported by critical recognition but facing a crowded field. Lower probabilities for Richard Gadd (“Half Man”), Jason Bateman, Nick Offerman, and Richard Jenkins align with fewer precursor wins and the dominance of the “DTF St. Louis” campaign narrative. Late reviews or final voting shifts remain the key swing factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEmmy 2026: eccezionale attore non protagonista in una serie o film a tiratura limitata o antologica
David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” 66.8%
Charles Melton – “Beef” 24.5%
Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning” 4.6%
Richard Gadd – “Half Man” 4.5%
$18,615 Vol.
$18,615 Vol.
David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis”
67%
Charles Melton – “Beef”
25%
Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning”
5%
Richard Gadd – “Half Man”
5%
Jason Bateman – “DTF St. Louis”
4%
Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis”
2%
David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” 66.8%
Charles Melton – “Beef” 24.5%
Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning” 4.6%
Richard Gadd – “Half Man” 4.5%
$18,615 Vol.
$18,615 Vol.
David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis”
67%
Charles Melton – “Beef”
25%
Nick Offerman – “Death By Lightning”
5%
Richard Gadd – “Half Man”
5%
Jason Bateman – “DTF St. Louis”
4%
Richard Jenkins – “DTF St. Louis”
2%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...David Harbour’s commanding 66.8% implied probability in the Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie market stems primarily from the HBO Max dark comedy “DTF St. Louis,” which earned 13 Emmy nominations and positioned him as the clear frontrunner among multiple cast contenders. Precursor buzz, including strong reviews and guild attention for his raw performance, has consolidated trader consensus around Harbour ahead of the September 14 ceremony. Charles Melton’s 24.4% share reflects his first nomination for the Netflix “Beef” Season 2 role, supported by critical recognition but facing a crowded field. Lower probabilities for Richard Gadd (“Half Man”), Jason Bateman, Nick Offerman, and Richard Jenkins align with fewer precursor wins and the dominance of the “DTF St. Louis” campaign narrative. Late reviews or final voting shifts remain the key swing factors.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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