Oscar Isaac leads the market at 58.5% implied probability thanks to Beef Season 2's dominant 16 Emmy nominations and strong critical reception, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in a category that often rewards standout limited-series performances. The Netflix series' sharp writing and buzz around its ensemble have built significant voter momentum, consistent with historical patterns favoring high-profile anthology follow-ups. Matthew Rhys (16.5%) and Riz Ahmed (16.0%) trail with solid but less dominant shows in The Beast in Me and Bait, while Jason Bateman and Charlie Hunnam sit further back on lower-profile entries. The Emmys ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst that could confirm or shift this trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoEmmy 2026: Miglior attore protagonista in una serie o film a tiratura limitata o antologica
Emmy 2026: Miglior attore protagonista in una serie o film a tiratura limitata o antologica
Oscar Isaac – “Beef” 59%
Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” 16%
Riz Ahmed – “Bait” 16%
Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” 4.6%
$52,606 Vol.
$52,606 Vol.
14 set 2026
Oscar Isaac – “Beef”
59%
Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me”
16%
Riz Ahmed – “Bait”
16%
Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit”
5%
Charlie Hunnam – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story”
4%
Oscar Isaac – “Beef” 59%
Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” 16%
Riz Ahmed – “Bait” 16%
Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” 4.6%
$52,606 Vol.
$52,606 Vol.
14 set 2026
Oscar Isaac – “Beef”
$7,483 Vol.
59%
Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me”
$9,070 Vol.
16%
Riz Ahmed – “Bait”
$23,596 Vol.
16%
Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit”
$10,443 Vol.
5%
Charlie Hunnam – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story”
$2,015 Vol.
4%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oscar Isaac leads the market at 58.5% implied probability thanks to Beef Season 2's dominant 16 Emmy nominations and strong critical reception, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in a category that often rewards standout limited-series performances. The Netflix series' sharp writing and buzz around its ensemble have built significant voter momentum, consistent with historical patterns favoring high-profile anthology follow-ups. Matthew Rhys (16.5%) and Riz Ahmed (16.0%) trail with solid but less dominant shows in The Beast in Me and Bait, while Jason Bateman and Charlie Hunnam sit further back on lower-profile entries. The Emmys ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst that could confirm or shift this trader consensus.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Volume
$52,606Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oscar Isaac leads the market at 58.5% implied probability thanks to Beef Season 2's dominant 16 Emmy nominations and strong critical reception, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in a category that often rewards standout limited-series performances. The Netflix series' sharp writing and buzz around its ensemble have built significant voter momentum, consistent with historical patterns favoring high-profile anthology follow-ups. Matthew Rhys (16.5%) and Riz Ahmed (16.0%) trail with solid but less dominant shows in The Beast in Me and Bait, while Jason Bateman and Charlie Hunnam sit further back on lower-profile entries. The Emmys ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst that could confirm or shift this trader consensus.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$52,606Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Oscar Isaac leads the market at 58.5% implied probability thanks to Beef Season 2's dominant 16 Emmy nominations and strong critical reception, positioning him as the clear frontrunner in a category that often rewards standout limited-series performances. The Netflix series' sharp writing and buzz around its ensemble have built significant voter momentum, consistent with historical patterns favoring high-profile anthology follow-ups. Matthew Rhys (16.5%) and Riz Ahmed (16.0%) trail with solid but less dominant shows in The Beast in Me and Bait, while Jason Bateman and Charlie Hunnam sit further back on lower-profile entries. The Emmys ceremony remains the key upcoming catalyst that could confirm or shift this trader consensus.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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