Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X, blending commentary on SpaceX milestones, Tesla developments, and real-time cultural and political moments, has cemented overwhelming trader consensus around the 260-279 tweet range for the May 19-26 window. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his typical daily output exceeding 30-40 posts, amplified by ongoing platform engagement and no major disruptions in the period. An upset into the low-200s would require an extended absence or sharp reduction in activity, such as a sudden international trip or unprecedented external pressure, though historical patterns make such a drop highly improbable before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato260-279 100¢
<20 0¢
20-39 0¢
40-59 0¢
$10,705,912 Vol.
$10,705,912 Vol.
26 mag 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
Yes
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
260-279 100¢
<20 0¢
20-39 0¢
40-59 0¢
$10,705,912 Vol.
$10,705,912 Vol.
26 mag 2026
<20
$44,177 Vol.
No
20-39
$4,414 Vol.
No
40-59
$19,682 Vol.
No
60-79
$28,129 Vol.
No
80-99
$54,837 Vol.
No
100-119
$90,768 Vol.
No
120-139
$89,660 Vol.
No
140-159
$160,129 Vol.
No
160-179
$167,149 Vol.
No
180-199
$358,465 Vol.
No
200-219
$559,729 Vol.
No
220-239
$937,736 Vol.
No
240-259
$1,577,421 Vol.
No
260-279
$857,624 Vol.
Yes
280-299
$857,986 Vol.
No
300-319
$785,843 Vol.
No
320-339
$758,748 Vol.
No
340-359
$552,675 Vol.
No
360-379
$395,865 Vol.
No
380-399
$363,807 Vol.
No
400-419
$374,816 Vol.
No
420-439
$343,869 Vol.
No
440-459
$287,289 Vol.
No
460-479
$314,614 Vol.
No
480-499
$287,440 Vol.
No
500+
$433,041 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X, blending commentary on SpaceX milestones, Tesla developments, and real-time cultural and political moments, has cemented overwhelming trader consensus around the 260-279 tweet range for the May 19-26 window. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his typical daily output exceeding 30-40 posts, amplified by ongoing platform engagement and no major disruptions in the period. An upset into the low-200s would require an extended absence or sharp reduction in activity, such as a sudden international trip or unprecedented external pressure, though historical patterns make such a drop highly improbable before the market resolves.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: May 20, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Volume
$10,705,912Data di fine
26 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:17 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X, blending commentary on SpaceX milestones, Tesla developments, and real-time cultural and political moments, has cemented overwhelming trader consensus around the 260-279 tweet range for the May 19-26 window. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his typical daily output exceeding 30-40 posts, amplified by ongoing platform engagement and no major disruptions in the period. An upset into the low-200s would require an extended absence or sharp reduction in activity, such as a sudden international trip or unprecedented external pressure, though historical patterns make such a drop highly improbable before the market resolves.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$10,705,912Data di fine
26 mag 2026Mercato aperto
May 20, 2026, 12:17 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X, blending commentary on SpaceX milestones, Tesla developments, and real-time cultural and political moments, has cemented overwhelming trader consensus around the 260-279 tweet range for the May 19-26 window. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his typical daily output exceeding 30-40 posts, amplified by ongoing platform engagement and no major disruptions in the period. An upset into the low-200s would require an extended absence or sharp reduction in activity, such as a sudden international trip or unprecedented external pressure, though historical patterns make such a drop highly improbable before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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