Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,484,769 Vol.
$3,484,769 Vol.
14 ago 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
Yes
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,484,769 Vol.
$3,484,769 Vol.
14 ago 2026
<20
$6,564 Vol.
No
20-39
$4,245 Vol.
No
40-59
$7,237 Vol.
No
60-79
$31,347 Vol.
No
80-99
$105,676 Vol.
No
100-119
$283,000 Vol.
No
120-139
$403,992 Vol.
No
140-159
$349,013 Vol.
No
160-179
$233,599 Vol.
No
180-199
$432,489 Vol.
Yes
200-219
$545,501 Vol.
No
220-239
$300,289 Vol.
No
240-259
$225,024 Vol.
No
260-279
$117,661 Vol.
No
280-299
$82,283 Vol.
No
300-319
$78,462 Vol.
No
320-339
$50,309 Vol.
No
340-359
$51,158 Vol.
No
360-379
$33,043 Vol.
No
380-399
$35,175 Vol.
No
400-419
$23,258 Vol.
No
420-439
$19,423 Vol.
No
440-459
$12,673 Vol.
No
460-479
$10,346 Vol.
No
480-499
$10,196 Vol.
No
500+
$32,807 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$3,484,769Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,484,769Data di fine
14 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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