Elon Musk’s consistent daily posting rhythm of roughly 30–50 original posts, quotes, and reposts on X has driven near-unanimous trader consensus toward the 180-199 bracket for the August 21–28 window. Routine engagement with tech, policy, and cultural topics, absent major political flashpoints or extended travel, has produced comparable weekly totals in the low-to-mid 200s across recent resolved markets. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects Musk’s established cadence during non-eventful stretches. An upset into the 160-179 range would require an unusually sustained quiet period, such as focused product work at xAI or SpaceX with minimal platform interaction, though historical patterns make that outcome improbable without clear disruption.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,671,433 Vol.
$3,671,433 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
Sì
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,671,433 Vol.
$3,671,433 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
Sì
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercato aperto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://x.com/elonmuskRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Elon Musk’s consistent daily posting rhythm of roughly 30–50 original posts, quotes, and reposts on X has driven near-unanimous trader consensus toward the 180-199 bracket for the August 21–28 window. Routine engagement with tech, policy, and cultural topics, absent major political flashpoints or extended travel, has produced comparable weekly totals in the low-to-mid 200s across recent resolved markets. This skin-in-the-game assessment reflects Musk’s established cadence during non-eventful stretches. An upset into the 160-179 range would require an unusually sustained quiet period, such as focused product work at xAI or SpaceX with minimal platform interaction, though historical patterns make that outcome improbable without clear disruption.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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