Denmark's March 2026 parliamentary election and June formation of a four-party minority coalition under Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen produced a stable government with 82 seats, following her earlier snap call tied to foreign policy dynamics. Traders assign a 98.5% probability against another dissolution by year-end because Danish practice shows extremely low rates of successive early elections within months of a new cabinet, and the current arrangement faces no immediate no-confidence threat or coalition breakdown. Recent polling places the Social Democrats near 21% with a lead over rivals, while autumn budget talks represent the main near-term legislative test rather than a trigger for dissolution. A sudden policy impasse over defense spending, immigration rules, or coalition partner defections could still force reconsideration, though such shifts remain outside current expectations.