Databricks' private valuation has climbed to $134–170 billion amid strong revenue growth exceeding $4.8 billion annualized at 55%+ rates, yet CEO comments in June 2026 explicitly flagged a crowded 2026 IPO calendar—including SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI—as making listing timing unfavorable, prompting continued private capital raises instead. This dynamic underpins the 63.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by end-2027, while positioning $200–250 billion as the leading closing market-cap outcome among IPO scenarios due to precedent valuations and AI-sector multiples. Traders are monitoring any S-1 filings or macro shifts in equity sentiment for signals that could alter these odds ahead of potential 2027 windows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato<150 miliardi di dollari 67%
200-250 miliardi di dollari 67%
$300-$350 miliardi 67%
350-400 miliardi di dollari 67%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2027
<150 miliardi di dollari
67%
$150B-$200B
60%
200-250 miliardi di dollari
67%
$250B-$300B
60%
$300-$350 miliardi
67%
350-400 miliardi di dollari
67%
400-450 miliardi di dollari
60%
450 miliardi di dollari+
67%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
64%
<150 miliardi di dollari 67%
200-250 miliardi di dollari 67%
$300-$350 miliardi 67%
350-400 miliardi di dollari 67%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2027
<150 miliardi di dollari
$0 Vol.
67%
$150B-$200B
$0 Vol.
60%
200-250 miliardi di dollari
$18 Vol.
67%
$250B-$300B
$18 Vol.
60%
$300-$350 miliardi
$18 Vol.
67%
350-400 miliardi di dollari
$18 Vol.
67%
400-450 miliardi di dollari
$0 Vol.
60%
450 miliardi di dollari+
$0 Vol.
67%
Nessuna IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027
$172 Vol.
64%
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' private valuation has climbed to $134–170 billion amid strong revenue growth exceeding $4.8 billion annualized at 55%+ rates, yet CEO comments in June 2026 explicitly flagged a crowded 2026 IPO calendar—including SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI—as making listing timing unfavorable, prompting continued private capital raises instead. This dynamic underpins the 63.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by end-2027, while positioning $200–250 billion as the leading closing market-cap outcome among IPO scenarios due to precedent valuations and AI-sector multiples. Traders are monitoring any S-1 filings or macro shifts in equity sentiment for signals that could alter these odds ahead of potential 2027 windows.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Mercato aperto: Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ET
Volume
$244Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.Databricks' private valuation has climbed to $134–170 billion amid strong revenue growth exceeding $4.8 billion annualized at 55%+ rates, yet CEO comments in June 2026 explicitly flagged a crowded 2026 IPO calendar—including SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI—as making listing timing unfavorable, prompting continued private capital raises instead. This dynamic underpins the 63.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by end-2027, while positioning $200–250 billion as the leading closing market-cap outcome among IPO scenarios due to precedent valuations and AI-sector multiples. Traders are monitoring any S-1 filings or macro shifts in equity sentiment for signals that could alter these odds ahead of potential 2027 windows.
This market will resolve based on Databricks's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Volume
$244Data di fine
31 dic 2027Mercato aperto
Jun 30, 2026, 10:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Databricks' private valuation has climbed to $134–170 billion amid strong revenue growth exceeding $4.8 billion annualized at 55%+ rates, yet CEO comments in June 2026 explicitly flagged a crowded 2026 IPO calendar—including SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI—as making listing timing unfavorable, prompting continued private capital raises instead. This dynamic underpins the 63.5% market-implied probability of no IPO by end-2027, while positioning $200–250 billion as the leading closing market-cap outcome among IPO scenarios due to precedent valuations and AI-sector multiples. Traders are monitoring any S-1 filings or macro shifts in equity sentiment for signals that could alter these odds ahead of potential 2027 windows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
La capitalizzazione di mercato di Stripe sarà inferiore a 150 miliardi di dollari alla chiusura del mercato nel giorno dell’IPO?
43%
Sì
La valutazione di Databricks raggiungerà (ALTA) 190 miliardi di dollari entro il 31 dicembre?
90%
Sì
La capitalizzazione di mercato di OpenAI sarà pari o superiore a 1,5 trilioni di dollari alla chiusura del mercato il giorno dell’IPO entro il 31 dicembre 2027?
37%
Sì
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti