The breakdown of the Morena-PVEM-PT alliance in Colima has heightened uncertainty for control of the state congress in the 2027 concurrent elections. PVEM's June decision to compete independently, combined with Morena's strong but not dominant polling lead in related gubernatorial preferences, has fragmented the field among multiple parties under the mixed-member proportional system. The recent installation of the INE local council marks the formal start of the process, with candidate definitions and any opposition coordination still ahead. This leaves the contest open, as no single party holds a commanding position and late developments in alliances or turnout could shift seat distributions.