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icon for CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

icon for CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche

Manny Rutinel 84%

Shannon Bird 14%

Amie Baca-Oehlert <1%

Dave Young <1%

Polymarket

$28,175 Vol.

Manny Rutinel 84%

Shannon Bird 14%

Amie Baca-Oehlert <1%

Dave Young <1%

Polymarket

$28,175 Vol.

Manny Rutinel

$15,950 Vol.

84%

Shannon Bird

$3,733 Vol.

14%

Amie Baca-Oehlert

$3,264 Vol.

1%

Dave Young

$1,847 Vol.

<1%

John Szemler

$2,220 Vol.

<1%

Yadira Caraveo

$1,161 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Manny Rutinel holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the June 30 Democratic primary in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District, reflecting his stronger fundraising totals, recent union and Hispanic Caucus endorsements, and positioning as the more progressive option in a race that has consolidated around two main candidates.** Former state representative Shannon Bird remains competitive through agricultural and rural PAC support plus her record of legislative effectiveness, though she trails in overall resources and national backing. Other entrants, including former U.S. Representative Yadira Caraveo and Amie Baca-Oehlert, have withdrawn or endorsed Rutinel, narrowing the contest. A June 9 debate and ongoing door-knocking efforts have kept both candidates visible in the suburban and agricultural portions of the district. The market’s pricing aligns with the late-stage dynamics of a closely watched primary where endorsements and spending patterns have shifted momentum toward Rutinel in the final weeks before voters decide.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$28,175
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Manny Rutinel holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the June 30 Democratic primary in Colorado’s 8th Congressional District, reflecting his stronger fundraising totals, recent union and Hispanic Caucus endorsements, and positioning as the more progressive option in a race that has consolidated around two main candidates.** Former state representative Shannon Bird remains competitive through agricultural and rural PAC support plus her record of legislative effectiveness, though she trails in overall resources and national backing. Other entrants, including former U.S. Representative Yadira Caraveo and Amie Baca-Oehlert, have withdrawn or endorsed Rutinel, narrowing the contest. A June 9 debate and ongoing door-knocking efforts have kept both candidates visible in the suburban and agricultural portions of the district. The market’s pricing aligns with the late-stage dynamics of a closely watched primary where endorsements and spending patterns have shifted momentum toward Rutinel in the final weeks before voters decide.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$28,175
Data di fine
30 giu 2026
Mercato aperto
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 6 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Manny Rutinel" a 84%, seguito da "Shannon Bird" a 14%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 84¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 84% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" ha generato $28.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 25, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche", esplora i 6 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" è "Manny Rutinel" a 84%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 84% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Shannon Bird" a 14%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "CO-08 Vincitore delle primarie democratiche" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.