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icon for ChatGPT o3 released today?

ChatGPT o3 released today?

icon for ChatGPT o3 released today?

ChatGPT o3 released today?

>99% probabilità
Polymarket

$19,016 Vol.

>99% probabilità
Polymarket

$19,016 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$19,016
Data di fine
16 apr 2025
Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2025, 2:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.

The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$19,016
Data di fine
16 apr 2025
Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2025, 2:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI’s full o3 model is made available to the general public by April 16, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Intermediate or partial versions (e.g., o3-mini, o3-pro) will not count. However, the release of o3 itself — or a clearly named direct successor — will qualify. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the full o3 model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or an open rolling waitlist. A closed beta or any form of limited/private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. The "OpenAI o3 model" refers specifically to the full version of o3, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as the successor to the o1 model. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Esito proposto: Yes

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: Yes

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"ChatGPT o3 released today?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 100% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 100¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 100% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "ChatGPT o3 released today?" ha generato $19K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Apr 16, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "ChatGPT o3 released today?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "ChatGPT o3 released today?" è 100% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 100% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "ChatGPT o3 released today?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.