**Augusto Cury’s first-round performance settled in the low single digits after an early-September surge faded.** The Avante candidate, a psychiatrist and self-help author running as a centrist alternative to polarization, briefly reached 6–11% in polls such as BTG/Nexus, Quaest, and Datafolha amid rapid social-media growth and appeal to independent voters. By late September, however, support consolidated around the two frontrunners—Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL)—with trackers placing Cury between 2% and 6%. Early October results and final pre-election surveys clustered near 3%, aligning with trader consensus on the 2–4% band. A late voter shift or unusually high turnout among his base could have pushed the share outside that range, but neither materialized.