Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane: 1° posto a San Paolo
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane: 1° posto a San Paolo

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane: 1° posto a San Paolo
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane: 1° posto a San Paolo

Flavio Bolsonaro 94%

Lula 6.2%

Zema <1%

Renan Santos <1%

Polymarket

$24,752 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 94%

Lula 6.2%

Zema <1%

Renan Santos <1%

Polymarket

$24,752 Vol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$7,705 Vol.

94%

icon for Lula

Lula

$9,250 Vol.

6%

icon for Zema

Zema

$693 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$1,365 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinario Wilson Grassi

Veterinario Wilson Grassi

$543 Vol.

<1%

icon for Scrittore Augusto Cury

Scrittore Augusto Cury

$714 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$526 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$526 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$497 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$1,189 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$622 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$527 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls in São Paulo, Brazil’s largest electoral college, show Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) leading or tied with incumbent President Lula (PT) in first-round presidential voting intentions, with margins of 35-39% to 32-33% in September surveys from Datafolha and Real Time Big Data. Traders price Flávio’s commanding position in the state at 94% because São Paulo has long favored Bolsonaro-aligned candidates, reinforced by alliances with popular state figures such as Governor Tarcísio de Freitas. A fragmented field of minor candidates, including Augusto Cury and Renan Santos, further concentrates support behind the two main contenders. Late shifts in turnout among undecided voters, unexpected endorsements, or national economic developments could still alter first-place outcomes before the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$24,752
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls in São Paulo, Brazil’s largest electoral college, show Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) leading or tied with incumbent President Lula (PT) in first-round presidential voting intentions, with margins of 35-39% to 32-33% in September surveys from Datafolha and Real Time Big Data. Traders price Flávio’s commanding position in the state at 94% because São Paulo has long favored Bolsonaro-aligned candidates, reinforced by alliances with popular state figures such as Governor Tarcísio de Freitas. A fragmented field of minor candidates, including Augusto Cury and Renan Santos, further concentrates support behind the two main contenders. Late shifts in turnout among undecided voters, unexpected endorsements, or national economic developments could still alter first-place outcomes before the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$24,752
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?

97%
Sì
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

92%
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

78%
Sì

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane: 1° posto a San Paolo" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 94%, seguito da "Lula" a 6%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 94¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane: 1° posto a San Paolo" ha generato $24.8K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane: 1° posto a San Paolo", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane: 1° posto a San Paolo" è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 94%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 94% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Lula" a 6%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane: 1° posto a San Paolo" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.