Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with recent state surveys showing him at 45-50% against single-digit or low-20% figures for rivals. This positioning stems from the state's conservative voter base, established PL party networks, and alliances including with Governor Jorginho Mello. Traders price the outcome at 97.4% implied probability, reflecting consistent regional data through mid-September. Potential shifts could arise from national campaign momentum, vote fragmentation among other right-leaning names, or developments in ongoing legal matters affecting candidate viability before the October first round.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFlavio Bolsonaro 97.5%
Zema <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
98%
Zema
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Lula
<1%
Scrittore Augusto Cury
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 97.5%
Zema <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
Edmilson Costa <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1,925 Vol.
98%
Zema
$321 Vol.
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$352 Vol.
1%
Edmilson Costa
$321 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$352 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$352 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$422 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$422 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$362 Vol.
<1%
Lula
$348 Vol.
<1%
Scrittore Augusto Cury
$322 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$322 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$312 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with recent state surveys showing him at 45-50% against single-digit or low-20% figures for rivals. This positioning stems from the state's conservative voter base, established PL party networks, and alliances including with Governor Jorginho Mello. Traders price the outcome at 97.4% implied probability, reflecting consistent regional data through mid-September. Potential shifts could arise from national campaign momentum, vote fragmentation among other right-leaning names, or developments in ongoing legal matters affecting candidate viability before the October first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ET
Volume
$6,130Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with recent state surveys showing him at 45-50% against single-digit or low-20% figures for rivals. This positioning stems from the state's conservative voter base, established PL party networks, and alliances including with Governor Jorginho Mello. Traders price the outcome at 97.4% implied probability, reflecting consistent regional data through mid-September. Potential shifts could arise from national campaign momentum, vote fragmentation among other right-leaning names, or developments in ongoing legal matters affecting candidate viability before the October first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Santa Catarina, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Santa Catarina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Santa Catarina. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$6,130Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:36 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Santa Catarina first-round polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, with recent state surveys showing him at 45-50% against single-digit or low-20% figures for rivals. This positioning stems from the state's conservative voter base, established PL party networks, and alliances including with Governor Jorginho Mello. Traders price the outcome at 97.4% implied probability, reflecting consistent regional data through mid-September. Potential shifts could arise from national campaign momentum, vote fragmentation among other right-leaning names, or developments in ongoing legal matters affecting candidate viability before the October first round.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane a San Paolo?
94%
Sì
Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Tocantins?
52%
Sì
Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?
78%
Sì
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