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icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Roraima
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Roraima

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Roraima
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Roraima

Flavio Bolsonaro 97.5%

Lula 1.9%

Veterinario Wilson Grassi <1%

Scrittore Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Flavio Bolsonaro 97.5%

Lula 1.9%

Veterinario Wilson Grassi <1%

Scrittore Augusto Cury <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$3,612 Vol.

98%

icon for Lula

Lula

$662 Vol.

2%

icon for Veterinario Wilson Grassi

Veterinario Wilson Grassi

$509 Vol.

1%

icon for Scrittore Augusto Cury

Scrittore Augusto Cury

$565 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$422 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$498 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$492 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$416 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$418 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state-level polling that shows him far ahead of other contenders. Recent surveys, including a September Real Time poll and an August Quaest survey, place him between 52% and 62% among Roraima voters, compared with Lula in the mid-to-high teens and single-digit or lower figures for candidates such as Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury. The state delivered one of Jair Bolsonaro’s strongest margins in prior cycles, and the Liberal Party’s decisive win in a recent supplementary gubernatorial race has reinforced local alignment with the family’s platform. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors in a polarized electorate, though shifts among undecided voters or late developments within the final weeks before voting could still narrow the gap.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,464
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent state-level polling that shows him far ahead of other contenders. Recent surveys, including a September Real Time poll and an August Quaest survey, place him between 52% and 62% among Roraima voters, compared with Lula in the mid-to-high teens and single-digit or lower figures for candidates such as Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, and Augusto Cury. The state delivered one of Jair Bolsonaro’s strongest margins in prior cycles, and the Liberal Party’s decisive win in a recent supplementary gubernatorial race has reinforced local alignment with the family’s platform. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors in a polarized electorate, though shifts among undecided voters or late developments within the final weeks before voting could still narrow the gap.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Roraima, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Roraima. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Roraima. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,464
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

78%
Sì
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

91%
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?

97%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Roraima" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 98%, seguito da "Lula" a 2%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 98¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Roraima" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Roraima", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Roraima" è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 98%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 98% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Lula" a 2%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Roraima" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.