Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Rio Grande do Sul polling for the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent regional backing for the PL candidate despite his Rio de Janeiro base. Multiple surveys from June through September, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show him ahead or in technical tie with Lula at 32-42% versus 28-39%, with all other tested names—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and Pablo Marçal—registering single digits or lower. This pattern aligns with trader consensus on his probability of finishing first in the state, where right-leaning preferences and limited national frontrunner penetration have held steady into the final weeks before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFlavio Bolsonaro 89%
Lula 11%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$22,757 Vol.
$22,757 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
89%
Lula
11%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Scrittore Augusto Cury
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 89%
Lula 11%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi <1%
$22,757 Vol.
$22,757 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$7,505 Vol.
89%
Lula
$3,654 Vol.
11%
Edmilson Costa
$1,437 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$816 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$1,173 Vol.
<1%
Scrittore Augusto Cury
$1,437 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$1,556 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$1,171 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$493 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$858 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$640 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$641 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$1,376 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Rio Grande do Sul polling for the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent regional backing for the PL candidate despite his Rio de Janeiro base. Multiple surveys from June through September, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show him ahead or in technical tie with Lula at 32-42% versus 28-39%, with all other tested names—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and Pablo Marçal—registering single digits or lower. This pattern aligns with trader consensus on his probability of finishing first in the state, where right-leaning preferences and limited national frontrunner penetration have held steady into the final weeks before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ET
Volume
$22,757Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Rio Grande do Sul polling for the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent regional backing for the PL candidate despite his Rio de Janeiro base. Multiple surveys from June through September, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show him ahead or in technical tie with Lula at 32-42% versus 28-39%, with all other tested names—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and Pablo Marçal—registering single digits or lower. This pattern aligns with trader consensus on his probability of finishing first in the state, where right-leaning preferences and limited national frontrunner penetration have held steady into the final weeks before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$22,757Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:35 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding position in Rio Grande do Sul polling for the October 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent regional backing for the PL candidate despite his Rio de Janeiro base. Multiple surveys from June through September, including Real Time Big Data and Quaest, show him ahead or in technical tie with Lula at 32-42% versus 28-39%, with all other tested names—including Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, Augusto Cury, and Pablo Marçal—registering single digits or lower. This pattern aligns with trader consensus on his probability of finishing first in the state, where right-leaning preferences and limited national frontrunner penetration have held steady into the final weeks before voting.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Norte?
97%
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?
91%
Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?
97%
Sì
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