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icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio de Janeiro
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio de Janeiro

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio de Janeiro
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio de Janeiro

Flavio Bolsonaro 86%

Lula 16%

Pablo Marçal <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket

$21,420 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 86%

Lula 16%

Pablo Marçal <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket

$21,420 Vol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$9,266 Vol.

86%

icon for Lula

Lula

$6,032 Vol.

16%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$1,278 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$453 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$373 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$747 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$639 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$567 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$373 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$375 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$453 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$431 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$433 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Rio de Janeiro first-round polling for the 2026 presidential election, with recent state-specific surveys showing him ahead of or statistically tied with incumbent President Lula.** Local data from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data in late August consistently place the PL senator from Rio at 31–41% against Lula’s 29–37%, reflecting his strong regional base as a sitting senator and the political heir to Bolsonarism in a state with deep conservative support. Other candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury register in the low single digits or below, consistent with their weaker statewide showings. National trends remain tighter, but Rio-specific dynamics and recent polling trends underpin trader consensus on the outcome in the state’s first-round vote scheduled for early October.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$21,420
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).**Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding position in Rio de Janeiro first-round polling for the 2026 presidential election, with recent state-specific surveys showing him ahead of or statistically tied with incumbent President Lula.** Local data from institutes including Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data in late August consistently place the PL senator from Rio at 31–41% against Lula’s 29–37%, reflecting his strong regional base as a sitting senator and the political heir to Bolsonarism in a state with deep conservative support. Other candidates such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Augusto Cury register in the low single digits or below, consistent with their weaker statewide showings. National trends remain tighter, but Rio-specific dynamics and recent polling trends underpin trader consensus on the outcome in the state’s first-round vote scheduled for early October.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$21,420
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:34 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane a San Paolo?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane a San Paolo?

85%
Sì
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

90%
Sì
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane nel Distretto Federale?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane nel Distretto Federale?

80%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio de Janeiro" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 86%, seguito da "Lula" a 16%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 86¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 86% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio de Janeiro" ha generato $21.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio de Janeiro", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio de Janeiro" è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 86%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 86% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Lula" a 16%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto a Rio de Janeiro" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.