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icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul
Elezioni·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul
Elezioni·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro 96.2%

Clariana Barao <1%

Lula <1%

Samara <1%

Polymarket

$10,501 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 96.2%

Clariana Barao <1%

Lula <1%

Samara <1%

Polymarket

$10,501 Vol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$6,112 Vol.

96%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$333 Vol.

1%

icon for Lula

Lula

$518 Vol.

1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$318 Vol.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$349 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$395 Vol.

1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$273 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$270 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$371 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$358 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinário Wilson Grassi

Veterinário Wilson Grassi

$392 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$385 Vol.

<1%

icon for Escritor Augusto Cury

Escritor Augusto Cury

$426 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro’s commanding position in this Mato Grosso do Sul first-round market reflects his consistent lead in recent state-level polling as the Liberal Party nominee, with support concentrated among rural and agribusiness voters in a conservative-leaning region. Surveys from AtlasIntel and Real Time in late August and early September showed him ahead of Lula by double-digit margins, extending patterns seen in neighboring Mato Grosso. His July convention nomination, family political legacy, and international endorsements have consolidated the right-wing vote locally ahead of the October election. While national first-round simulations remain tighter, the state’s demographics and limited competition from other listed candidates reinforce trader consensus on his frontrunner status. Late campaign developments, turnout shifts among undecided voters, or unexpected alliances could still alter the outcome.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,501
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro’s commanding position in this Mato Grosso do Sul first-round market reflects his consistent lead in recent state-level polling as the Liberal Party nominee, with support concentrated among rural and agribusiness voters in a conservative-leaning region. Surveys from AtlasIntel and Real Time in late August and early September showed him ahead of Lula by double-digit margins, extending patterns seen in neighboring Mato Grosso. His July convention nomination, family political legacy, and international endorsements have consolidated the right-wing vote locally ahead of the October election. While national first-round simulations remain tighter, the state’s demographics and limited competition from other listed candidates reinforce trader consensus on his frontrunner status. Late campaign developments, turnout shifts among undecided voters, or unexpected alliances could still alter the outcome.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$10,501
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Mato Grosso?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Mato Grosso?

95%
Sì
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nella prossima elezione presidenziale brasiliana dal Rio Grande do Sul?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nella prossima elezione presidenziale brasiliana dal Rio Grande do Sul?

88%
Sì
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile dal Paraná?

95%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 96%, seguito da "Clariana Barao" a 1%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 96¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 96% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul" ha generato $10.5K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul" è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 96%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 96% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Clariana Barao" a 1%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso do Sul" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.