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icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso

Flavio Bolsonaro 95%

Lula 2.4%

Zema <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO

Flavio Bolsonaro 95%

Lula 2.4%

Zema <1%

Edmilson Costa <1%

Polymarket
NUOVO
icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$3,545 Vol.

95%

icon for Lula

Lula

$1,490 Vol.

2%

icon for Zema

Zema

$608 Vol.

1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$470 Vol.

1%

icon for Scrittore Augusto Cury

Scrittore Augusto Cury

$485 Vol.

1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$360 Vol.

1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$386 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$444 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$439 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$477 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$390 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$403 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinario Wilson Grassi

Veterinario Wilson Grassi

$396 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader expectations for first place in Mato Grosso's presidential first round, reflecting repeated state-level polling that places him well ahead of other contenders. Mato Grosso's agribusiness economy and conservative voter base have aligned with the Liberal Party candidate's platform, producing double-digit margins over Lula in multiple surveys conducted through August 2026. His nomination by the PL and inheritance of Bolsonarista support in the region have consolidated this position ahead of the October vote. A narrow national race or unexpected developments such as shifts in turnout among rural voters, late endorsements, or legal rulings on candidacy eligibility could still alter first-round ordering in the state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,894
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flavio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader expectations for first place in Mato Grosso's presidential first round, reflecting repeated state-level polling that places him well ahead of other contenders. Mato Grosso's agribusiness economy and conservative voter base have aligned with the Liberal Party candidate's platform, producing double-digit margins over Lula in multiple surveys conducted through August 2026. His nomination by the PL and inheritance of Bolsonarista support in the region have consolidated this position ahead of the October vote. A narrow national race or unexpected developments such as shifts in turnout among rural voters, late endorsements, or legal rulings on candidacy eligibility could still alter first-round ordering in the state.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$9,894
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:31 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?

95%
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

88%
Sì
icon for Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?

81%

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Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 95%, seguito da "Lula" a 2%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Aug 17, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso" è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Lula" a 2%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Mato Grosso" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.