Lula maintains a commanding lead in Maranhão for first place in the October 4 first-round presidential vote, with recent polls from Real Time Big Data and Quaest showing 58-62% support against 20-25% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for all others. This positioning reflects longstanding voter alignments in the Northeast, where federal government approval exceeds 60% in state surveys and economic and social policy factors sustain PT backing. Trader consensus prices the outcome near certainty given the narrow window to election day and reports of firm voter preferences, though late developments such as shifts in turnout among key blocs or unforeseen campaign events could still alter final margins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLula 97.0%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Flavio Bolsonaro <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$13,640 Vol.
$13,640 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Lula
97%
Edmilson Costa
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
<1%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
<1%
Samara
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Zema
<1%
Lula 97.0%
Edmilson Costa <1%
Flavio Bolsonaro <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
$13,640 Vol.
$13,640 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Lula
$5,542 Vol.
97%
Edmilson Costa
$726 Vol.
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$716 Vol.
<1%
Clariana Barao
$740 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$740 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$669 Vol.
<1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$589 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$617 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$699 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$634 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$645 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$649 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$673 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Maranhão for first place in the October 4 first-round presidential vote, with recent polls from Real Time Big Data and Quaest showing 58-62% support against 20-25% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for all others. This positioning reflects longstanding voter alignments in the Northeast, where federal government approval exceeds 60% in state surveys and economic and social policy factors sustain PT backing. Trader consensus prices the outcome near certainty given the narrow window to election day and reports of firm voter preferences, though late developments such as shifts in turnout among key blocs or unforeseen campaign events could still alter final margins.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$13,640Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Maranhão for first place in the October 4 first-round presidential vote, with recent polls from Real Time Big Data and Quaest showing 58-62% support against 20-25% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for all others. This positioning reflects longstanding voter alignments in the Northeast, where federal government approval exceeds 60% in state surveys and economic and social policy factors sustain PT backing. Trader consensus prices the outcome near certainty given the narrow window to election day and reports of firm voter preferences, though late developments such as shifts in turnout among key blocs or unforeseen campaign events could still alter final margins.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Maranhão, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Maranhão.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Maranhão. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$13,640Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Maranhão for first place in the October 4 first-round presidential vote, with recent polls from Real Time Big Data and Quaest showing 58-62% support against 20-25% for Flávio Bolsonaro and single digits or less for all others. This positioning reflects longstanding voter alignments in the Northeast, where federal government approval exceeds 60% in state surveys and economic and social policy factors sustain PT backing. Trader consensus prices the outcome near certainty given the narrow window to election day and reports of firm voter preferences, though late developments such as shifts in turnout among key blocs or unforeseen campaign events could still alter final margins.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?
78%
Sì
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?
91%
Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Paraíba?
98%
Sì
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