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icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Espírito Santo
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Espírito Santo

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Espírito Santo
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Espírito Santo

Flavio Bolsonaro 95%

Lula 4.8%

Veterinario Wilson Grassi 2.4%

Hertz Dias <1%

Polymarket

$20,125 Vol.

Flavio Bolsonaro 95%

Lula 4.8%

Veterinario Wilson Grassi 2.4%

Hertz Dias <1%

Polymarket

$20,125 Vol.

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$9,245 Vol.

95%

icon for Lula

Lula

$833 Vol.

5%

icon for Veterinario Wilson Grassi

Veterinario Wilson Grassi

$1,210 Vol.

2%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$1,109 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$944 Vol.

<1%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$942 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$620 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$597 Vol.

<1%

icon for Scrittore Augusto Cury

Scrittore Augusto Cury

$989 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$983 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$691 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$974 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$988 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader expectations for first place in Espírito Santo's first-round presidential voting due to the state's consistent right-wing leanings, including Jair Bolsonaro's past victories there, combined with recent local surveys showing the PL senator tied or narrowly ahead of Lula amid majority disapproval of the incumbent administration. Fragmented support among other candidates such as Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado further concentrates preferences toward the main opposition figure. Scenarios that could alter this positioning include shifts among undecided voters, stronger-than-expected turnout for minor candidates, or late developments affecting national momentum in the final weeks before the October 4 ballot.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$20,125
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro holds a commanding lead in trader expectations for first place in Espírito Santo's first-round presidential voting due to the state's consistent right-wing leanings, including Jair Bolsonaro's past victories there, combined with recent local surveys showing the PL senator tied or narrowly ahead of Lula amid majority disapproval of the incumbent administration. Fragmented support among other candidates such as Augusto Cury, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado further concentrates preferences toward the main opposition figure. Scenarios that could alter this positioning include shifts among undecided voters, stronger-than-expected turnout for minor candidates, or late developments affecting national momentum in the final weeks before the October 4 ballot.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$20,125
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

Correlati

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane a San Paolo?

Flavio Bolsonaro otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane a San Paolo?

89%
Sì
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti al primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali brasiliane del 2026?

80%
Sì
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile da Tocantins?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali in Brasile da Tocantins?

68%
Sì

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Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Espírito Santo" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 95%, seguito da "Lula" a 5%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 95¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Espírito Santo" ha generato $20.1K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Espírito Santo", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Espírito Santo" è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 95%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 95% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Lula" a 5%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Espírito Santo" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.