The next Canadian federal election remains scheduled for October 15, 2029, under fixed-date rules, unless Parliament is dissolved earlier on the prime minister’s advice. Mark Carney’s Liberal government, formed after the 2025 vote and strengthened into a majority through by-election gains and floor crossings, faces no immediate confidence threats. Recent polling shows the Liberals maintaining a double-digit lead over the Conservatives, reducing pressure for a snap contest. Provincial votes in Quebec and British Columbia, along with an Alberta referendum, dominate the current electoral calendar, while federal by-elections for several vacant seats have been called on standard timelines extending into 2027. No official statements or procedural moves indicate an early dissolution before the market window closes.