Andrew Tate and his brother Tristan remain in U.S. federal custody in Miami following their July 18, 2026 arrest on a UK extradition request tied to 59 charges including rape, sexual assault, and trafficking-related offenses. A magistrate has scheduled an August 13 hearing to decide bail while UK authorities prepare their full submission, with the broader extradition process potentially extending up to a year. Separate Romanian proceedings on human trafficking and organized crime allegations continue without resolution, complicating any release or transfer. Traders price low probabilities of near-term freedom due to these overlapping legal constraints, flight-risk concerns, and the absence of confirmed bail grants or case dismissals. Upcoming court dates and any new filings could shift detention status before year-end resolution windows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoAndrew Tate rilasciato dalla custodia da...?
$210,651 Vol.
August 31
8%
31 dicembre
26%
$210,651 Vol.
August 31
8%
31 dicembre
26%
If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 28, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Tate is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Tate is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Andrew Tate to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
Extradition or transfer to a different jurisdiction of custody will not qualify as a release from custody.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Andrew Tate and his brother Tristan remain in U.S. federal custody in Miami following their July 18, 2026 arrest on a UK extradition request tied to 59 charges including rape, sexual assault, and trafficking-related offenses. A magistrate has scheduled an August 13 hearing to decide bail while UK authorities prepare their full submission, with the broader extradition process potentially extending up to a year. Separate Romanian proceedings on human trafficking and organized crime allegations continue without resolution, complicating any release or transfer. Traders price low probabilities of near-term freedom due to these overlapping legal constraints, flight-risk concerns, and the absence of confirmed bail grants or case dismissals. Upcoming court dates and any new filings could shift detention status before year-end resolution windows.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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