Redistricting after the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais decision shifted Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District to an R+7 partisan voting index, with the lines projected to favor Republicans by double digits based on recent presidential results. This structural change positions state Representative Rhett Marques as the frontrunner against Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures in the November 3 general election. Recent campaign activity has featured mutual attacks on tax records, congressional stock trading legislation, and national policy priorities, alongside Figures’ calls for debates that Marques has declined. Democratic internal polling has shown the race near even at times, while independent forecasts and the wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing continue to favor the Republican nominee by a substantial margin.