Mailza Assis holds a commanding lead in the Acre governor race after securing 49.76% in the October 4 first round, advancing to the October 25 runoff against Alan Rick, who received 32.27%. As the sitting governor who assumed office in April following Gladson Cameli’s departure for a Senate bid, she benefits from incumbency, a broad coalition under the Avança Acre banner, and victories in 19 of 22 municipalities. Other candidates, including Tião Bocalom and Thor Dantas, trailed far behind and will not participate in the second round. Trader consensus reflects this structural advantage and first-round margin, though the runoff outcome remains subject to standard campaign dynamics and turnout patterns in the state’s 22 municipalities.