Gregg Hull holds a commanding position in the New Mexico Republican primary for governor due to his twelve-year record as Rio Rancho mayor, which has delivered broad name recognition and organizational strength across the state. He secured more than 55 percent of delegate support at the March pre-primary convention, outpacing Doug Turner and positioning both on the June 2 ballot alongside Duke Rodriguez. Recent polling shows Hull maintaining a narrow lead at 33 percent to Turner’s 30 percent with 25 percent undecided, though Turner has closed the gap since earlier surveys. Traders’ consensus assigns Hull an 88 percent implied probability, reflecting his established incumbency-like advantages in a compressed campaign window where late shifts remain possible but face structural headwinds from voter familiarity and party infrastructure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoGreg Hull 88%
Doug Turner 8.5%
Duke Rodriguez 3.5%
Brian Cillessen <1%
$997,013 Vol.
$997,013 Vol.
Greg Hull
88%
Doug Turner
9%
Duke Rodriguez
3%
Brian Cillessen
<1%
Judith Nakamura
<1%
John Sanchez
<1%
Steve Lanier
<1%
Belinda Robertson
<1%
Mark Murphy
<1%
Susana Martinez
<1%
Greg Hull 88%
Doug Turner 8.5%
Duke Rodriguez 3.5%
Brian Cillessen <1%
$997,013 Vol.
$997,013 Vol.
Greg Hull
88%
Doug Turner
9%
Duke Rodriguez
3%
Brian Cillessen
<1%
Judith Nakamura
<1%
John Sanchez
<1%
Steve Lanier
<1%
Belinda Robertson
<1%
Mark Murphy
<1%
Susana Martinez
<1%
If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gregg Hull holds a commanding position in the New Mexico Republican primary for governor due to his twelve-year record as Rio Rancho mayor, which has delivered broad name recognition and organizational strength across the state. He secured more than 55 percent of delegate support at the March pre-primary convention, outpacing Doug Turner and positioning both on the June 2 ballot alongside Duke Rodriguez. Recent polling shows Hull maintaining a narrow lead at 33 percent to Turner’s 30 percent with 25 percent undecided, though Turner has closed the gap since earlier surveys. Traders’ consensus assigns Hull an 88 percent implied probability, reflecting his established incumbency-like advantages in a compressed campaign window where late shifts remain possible but face structural headwinds from voter familiarity and party infrastructure.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti