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icon for 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?
Politica·Guerra Commerciale

30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?

icon for 30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?
Politica·Guerra Commerciale

30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$52,700 Vol.

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$52,700 Vol.

On July 12, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 30% reciprocal tariff to all imports from the European Union beginning August 1, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 30% tariff on imports into the United States from the European Union goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 30% tariff on imports into the United States from the European Union goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the European Union will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

On July 12, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 30% reciprocal tariff to all imports from the European Union beginning August 1, 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 30% tariff on imports into the United States from the European Union goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 30% tariff on imports into the United States from the European Union goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting the European Union will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$52,700
Data di fine
1 ago 2025
Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2025, 8:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
On July 12, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 30% reciprocal tariff to all imports from the European Union beginning August 1, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 30% tariff on imports into the United States from the European Union goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 30% tariff on imports into the United States from the European Union goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the European Union will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

On July 12, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 30% reciprocal tariff to all imports from the European Union beginning August 1, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 30% tariff on imports into the United States from the European Union goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 30% tariff on imports into the United States from the European Union goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the European Union will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

On July 12, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 30% reciprocal tariff to all imports from the European Union beginning August 1, 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 30% tariff on imports into the United States from the European Union goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 30% tariff on imports into the United States from the European Union goes into effect.

Only tariffs specifically targeting the European Union will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$52,700
Data di fine
1 ago 2025
Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2025, 8:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
On July 12, President Trump announced that the United States would apply a 30% reciprocal tariff to all imports from the European Union beginning August 1, 2025. This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general 30% tariff on imports into the United States from the European Union goes into effect for any amount of time by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 30% tariff on imports into the United States from the European Union goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the European Union will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 0% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 0¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?" ha generato $52.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 14, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?" è 0% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.