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2025 July hottest on record?

icon for 2025 July hottest on record?

2025 July hottest on record?

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$247,717 Vol.

<1% probabilità
Polymarket

$247,717 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior July when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for July 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for July, and if 2025 July is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 July is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior July when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At the point the data for July 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for July, and if 2025 July is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Note: If 2025 July is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volume
$247,717
Data di fine
31 lug 2025
Mercato aperto
Jul 4, 2025, 9:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior July when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for July 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for July, and if 2025 July is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 July is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior July when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for July 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for July, and if 2025 July is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 July is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior July when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

At the point the data for July 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for July, and if 2025 July is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes".

Note: If 2025 July is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.
Volume
$247,717
Data di fine
31 lug 2025
Mercato aperto
Jul 4, 2025, 9:34 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2025 shows an increase greater than that of any prior July when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for July 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for July, and if 2025 July is higher than all previous data points, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 July is tied for highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for July 2025 is provided by NASA by October 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

Esito proposto: No

Nessuna contestazione

Esito finale: No

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Domande frequenti

"2025 July hottest on record?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni "Sì" o "No" in base a se credono che questo evento accadrà. La probabilità attuale aggregata è 0% per "Yes". Ad esempio, se "Sì" è quotato a 0¢, il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "2025 July hottest on record?" ha generato $247.7K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jul 4, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "2025 July hottest on record?", scegli semplicemente se ritieni che la risposta sia "Sì" o "No". Ogni lato ha un prezzo corrente che riflette la probabilità implicita del mercato. Inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se compri azioni "Sì" e l'esito si risolve come "Sì", ogni azione paga $1. Se si risolve come "No", le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

La probabilità attuale per "2025 July hottest on record?" è 0% per "Yes". Questo significa che la comunità Polymarket attualmente ritiene che ci sia una probabilità di 0% che questo evento si verifichi. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale basandosi sulle operazioni effettive, fornendo un segnale continuamente aggiornato di ciò che il mercato si aspetta accada.

Le regole di risoluzione per "2025 July hottest on record?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.