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Peraturan prediksi & peluang

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Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

9%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$82.1K today

$63.2K Liq.

21

Ends in 7 months

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

34

Ends in 7 months

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

14%

$245K Vol.

$22.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

20%

$170K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

7%

$9.6K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

7%

$306K Vol.

$16.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

9%

June 30

$164K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

10

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

49%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.7K Liq.

130

Ends in 7 months

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

9%

$99.4K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

23%

KeyBank

$23.2K Vol.

$64.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

Trump ballroom project unblocked by...?

2%

May 31

$31.6K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

4

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 1?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 1?

99%

$730

$4.7K Vol.

$20.5K Liq.

Ends in about 23 hours

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?

5%

$52.5K Vol.

$7.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 29 days

Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

8%

$1.2K Vol.

$39.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

US lifts Iran OFAC sanctions by...?

27%

June 30

$7.1K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

59%

June 30, 2027

$488K Vol.

$5.1K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 1?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 1?

93%

$83

$842 Vol.

$607 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Which banks will fail by June 30?

Which banks will fail by June 30?

3%

BNY

$513K Vol.

$40.3K Liq.

Ends in 29 days

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 25 - May 31)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 25 - May 31)

5%

Garden / Grove

$16.9K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

2

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

4%

July 31

$946K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapat keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu dengan trading pada hal-hal terkait berita terkini, politik, olahraga, pemilu, crypto, keuangan, teknologi, budaya, termasuk topik seperti Peraturan.

Polymarket saat ini memiliki 111 market aktif untuk Peraturan yang memungkinkan kamu melacak atau trading prediksi seperti "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?". Baik kamu melacak event yang banyak diperdebatkan maupun hasil yang lebih niche, platform ini mengumpulkan peluang real-time berdasarkan lebih dari $10.4M volume trading, memberikan gambaran menyeluruh tentang sentimen penggemar dan investor.

Setiap polymarket adalah pertanyaan ya/tidak, seperti "Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?". Kamu membeli share untuk hasil "ya" atau "tidak". Harga mencerminkan peluang dan probabilitas dari kerumunan. Misalnya, jika ya di harga 30 sen, itu berarti peluang 30%. Market diselesaikan berdasarkan hasil resmi. Untuk event multi-hasil, seperti "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?," kamu cukup trading pada hasil spesifik yang menurutmu akan menang.

Per hari ini, market paling aktif adalah "Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?," di mana kerumunan saat ini memberikan peluang 9% untuk December 31, 2026. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time seiring munculnya informasi baru dan pengguna trading, menawarkan gambaran dinamis tentang apa yang pasar yakini akan terjadi dibandingkan peluang bandar tradisional.

Ini memotong kebisingan informasi. Berbeda dengan jajak pendapat atau pundit, Polymarket menunjukkan peluang real-time pada prediksi Peraturan yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial yang seringkali lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada pakar atau survei. Kamu mendapat pandangan yang tidak bias tentang apa yang ribuan trader pikir akan benar-benar terjadi, seringkali lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat. Ditambah lagi, kamu bisa trading share dan berpotensi untung jika prediksimu tepat.