Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWorld Cup Winner
Spanyol 16.9%
Prancis 16.6%
Inggris 11.2%
Portugal 10.2%
$1,289,602,246 Vol.
$1,289,602,246 Vol.

Spanyol
17%

Prancis
17%

Inggris
11%

Portugal
10%

Brasil
9%

Argentina
9%

Jerman
5%

Belanda
4%

Norwegia
3%

Kolombia
2%

Jepang
2%

Belgia
2%

Maroko
1%

Swiss
1%

Amerika Serikat
1%

Uruguay
1%

Meksiko
1%

Ekuador
1%

Croatia
1%

Turki
1%

Senegal
1%

Austria
1%

Sweden
1%

Kanada
<1%

Korea Selatan
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Skotlandia
<1%

Pantai Gading
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Egypt
<1%

Iran
<1%

Aljazair
<1%

Tunisia
<1%

Kongo DR
<1%

Australia
<1%

Selandia Baru
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Yordania
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Afrika Selatan
<1%

Tanjung Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
Spanyol 16.9%
Prancis 16.6%
Inggris 11.2%
Portugal 10.2%
$1,289,602,246 Vol.
$1,289,602,246 Vol.

Spanyol
17%

Prancis
17%

Inggris
11%

Portugal
10%

Brasil
9%

Argentina
9%

Jerman
5%

Belanda
4%

Norwegia
3%

Kolombia
2%

Jepang
2%

Belgia
2%

Maroko
1%

Swiss
1%

Amerika Serikat
1%

Uruguay
1%

Meksiko
1%

Ekuador
1%

Croatia
1%

Turki
1%

Senegal
1%

Austria
1%

Sweden
1%

Kanada
<1%

Korea Selatan
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Skotlandia
<1%

Pantai Gading
<1%

Czechia
<1%

Egypt
<1%

Iran
<1%

Aljazair
<1%

Tunisia
<1%

Kongo DR
<1%

Australia
<1%

Selandia Baru
<1%

Haiti
<1%

Yordania
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Uzbekistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Afrika Selatan
<1%

Tanjung Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France sit atop the 2026 World Cup winner market in near parity because both enter as the most recent major-tournament standouts with unmatched squad depth. Spain’s Euro 2024 triumph and continued Nations League momentum have kept their implied probability highest, while France’s blend of experience and emerging talent sustains their position just behind. England’s back-to-back European final appearances and Portugal’s consistent results round out a tight European cluster, with Brazil and Argentina the leading non-European challengers on the strength of Copa America pedigree. Recent group-stage draws and final squad announcements have reinforced rather than altered this hierarchy, leaving little daylight among the top five.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan