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World Cup Winner

icon for World Cup Winner

World Cup Winner

Prancis 18.4%

Spanyol 13.7%

Inggris 12.8%

Argentina 11.8%

Polymarket

$2,661,989,704 Vol.

Prancis 18.4%

Spanyol 13.7%

Inggris 12.8%

Argentina 11.8%

Polymarket

$2,661,989,704 Vol.

icon for Prancis

Prancis

$61,412,040 Vol.

18%

icon for Spanyol

Spanyol

$53,816,438 Vol.

14%

icon for Inggris

Inggris

$46,422,364 Vol.

13%

icon for Argentina

Argentina

$60,785,953 Vol.

12%

icon for Portugal

Portugal

$55,976,900 Vol.

7%

icon for Brasil

Brasil

$44,445,126 Vol.

7%

icon for Jerman

Jerman

$54,299,521 Vol.

6%

icon for Belanda

Belanda

$53,636,195 Vol.

4%

icon for Norwegia

Norwegia

$55,403,385 Vol.

3%

icon for Amerika Serikat

Amerika Serikat

$79,298,540 Vol.

2%

icon for Maroko

Maroko

$61,116,404 Vol.

2%

icon for Kolombia

Kolombia

$57,129,070 Vol.

2%

icon for Jepang

Jepang

$58,776,544 Vol.

2%

icon for Meksiko

Meksiko

$75,873,509 Vol.

2%

icon for Belgia

Belgia

$57,783,439 Vol.

2%

icon for Swiss

Swiss

$56,882,901 Vol.

1%

icon for Senegal

Senegal

$53,484,446 Vol.

1%

icon for Croatia

Croatia

$63,409,465 Vol.

1%

icon for Uruguay

Uruguay

$59,540,729 Vol.

1%

icon for Sweden

Sweden

$48,455,735 Vol.

1%

icon for Turki

Turki

$57,460,768 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ekuador

Ekuador

$60,093,830 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pantai Gading

Pantai Gading

$71,164,616 Vol.

<1%

icon for Australia

Australia

$69,295,034 Vol.

<1%

icon for Austria

Austria

$60,144,128 Vol.

<1%

icon for Korea Selatan

Korea Selatan

$84,499,178 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kanada

Kanada

$61,156,333 Vol.

<1%

icon for Skotlandia

Skotlandia

$60,611,764 Vol.

<1%

icon for Egypt

Egypt

$65,827,874 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ghana

Ghana

$52,095,519 Vol.

<1%

icon for Aljazair

Aljazair

$62,538,436 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paraguay

Paraguay

$61,178,815 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kongo DR

Kongo DR

$75,825,618 Vol.

<1%

icon for Selandia Baru

Selandia Baru

$46,902,742 Vol.

<1%

icon for Haiti

Haiti

$32,835,992 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yordania

Yordania

$32,778,325 Vol.

<1%

icon for Curaçao

Curaçao

$43,838,363 Vol.

<1%

icon for Iran

Iran

$56,319,124 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bosnia-Herzegovina

Bosnia-Herzegovina

$46,137,098 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tunisia

Tunisia

$36,409,321 Vol.

<1%

icon for Uzbekistan

Uzbekistan

$61,311,973 Vol.

<1%

icon for Panama

Panama

$20,028,210 Vol.

<1%

icon for Irak

Irak

$30,378,198 Vol.

<1%

icon for Afrika Selatan

Afrika Selatan

$39,185,977 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tanjung Verde

Tanjung Verde

$48,790,544 Vol.

<1%

icon for Czechia

Czechia

$56,923,170 Vol.

<1%

icon for Qatar

Qatar

$45,056,853 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Arabia

Saudi Arabia

$56,331,714 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,661,989,704
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France leads the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner market at 18.4% implied probability after opening with a 3-1 victory over Senegal featuring multiple goals from Kylian Mbappé, while Spain sits at 13.8% following a surprising 0-0 draw against Cape Verde that tempered expectations from its Euro 2024-winning squad. England (12.8%) and defending champion Argentina (11.6%) remain tightly clustered behind them after strong early results, including England’s 4-2 win over Croatia and Argentina’s emphatic performances. The bunched pricing among the top five reflects the expanded 48-team format, comparable squad depth and star power across elite European sides, and limited separation in group-stage results so far. Portugal, Brazil, and Germany trail but stay within striking distance as traders weigh recent form, injuries, and knockout-stage matchups that remain weeks away.

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,661,989,704
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 20, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"World Cup Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 50+ hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Prancis" di 18%, diikuti oleh "Spanyol" di 14%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 18¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 18% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "World Cup Winner" telah menghasilkan $2.7 billion dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 2, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "World Cup Winner," jelajahi 50+ hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "World Cup Winner" adalah "Prancis" di 18%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 18% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Spanyol" di 14%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "World Cup Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.