Trader consensus favors a Trump visit to China on May 13 (43.5%) or May 14 (34%), reflecting White House announcements of a rescheduled Beijing summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15, postponed from March amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict and blockade. Preparatory diplomacy advanced yesterday with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's talks with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, emphasizing supply chain stability ahead of the trip, while Japan seeks a Tokyo stopover and China issued Taiwan warnings. The tight race stems from ambiguity over exact arrival timing versus confirmed summit dates, with "No visit by May 31" at 15.5% pricing in Iran negotiation risks or escalation that could prompt further delay; resolution hinges on official travel confirmation or cancellation signals before May 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWill Trump visit China on...?
Will Trump visit China on...?
May 13 43%
May 14 34%
No visit by May 31 16%
May 15 4.0%
$147,504 Vol.
$147,504 Vol.
On or prior to May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
<1%
May 9
<1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
1%
May 13
43%
May 14
34%
May 15
4%
May 16
1%
May 17
1%
May 18
<1%
May 19
1%
May 20
<1%
May 21
1%
May 22
<1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
<1%
May 25
1%
May 26
1%
May 27
<1%
May 28
<1%
May 29
1%
May 30
<1%
May 31
1%
No visit by May 31
16%
May 13 43%
May 14 34%
No visit by May 31 16%
May 15 4.0%
$147,504 Vol.
$147,504 Vol.
On or prior to May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
<1%
May 9
<1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
1%
May 13
43%
May 14
34%
May 15
4%
May 16
1%
May 17
1%
May 18
<1%
May 19
1%
May 20
<1%
May 21
1%
May 22
<1%
May 23
<1%
May 24
<1%
May 25
1%
May 26
1%
May 27
<1%
May 28
<1%
May 29
1%
May 30
<1%
May 31
1%
No visit by May 31
16%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a Trump visit to China on May 13 (43.5%) or May 14 (34%), reflecting White House announcements of a rescheduled Beijing summit with Xi Jinping on May 14-15, postponed from March amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict and blockade. Preparatory diplomacy advanced yesterday with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's talks with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng, emphasizing supply chain stability ahead of the trip, while Japan seeks a Tokyo stopover and China issued Taiwan warnings. The tight race stems from ambiguity over exact arrival timing versus confirmed summit dates, with "No visit by May 31" at 15.5% pricing in Iran negotiation risks or escalation that could prompt further delay; resolution hinges on official travel confirmation or cancellation signals before May 31.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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