Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, including direct commentary on foreign policy, tariffs, immigration enforcement, and political opponents, drives trader consensus on daily insult markets, with near-continuous streaks observed since mid-June 2026 pushing implied probabilities above 90% for additional instances. Primary catalysts include ongoing posts related to Iran developments, trade measures, and domestic policy that often feature critical language. As president, his platform remains the main channel for unfiltered statements, consistent with historical patterns of using social media to shape narratives. Upcoming factors that could influence outcomes include scheduled diplomatic events, legislative votes, or economic data releases that prompt responses. Markets reflect real-money trader assessments of these recurring dynamics rather than guarantees.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$431,181 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
July 1
Yes
July 2
Yes
July 3
Yes
July 4
Yes
July 5
Yes
July 6
Yes
July 7
No
July 8
Yes
July 9
No
July 10
No
July 11
Yes
July 12
Yes
July 13
Yes
July 14
Yes
July 15
Yes
July 16
No
July 17
Yes
July 18
Yes
July 19
Yes
July 20
No
July 21
Yes
July 22
Yes
July 23
Yes
July 24
Yes
July 25
No
July 26
Yes
July 27
Yes
July 28
Yes
July 29
Yes
July 30
No
July 31
Yes
$431,181 Vol.
July 1
$21,546 Vol.
Yes
July 2
$13,853 Vol.
Yes
July 3
$18,606 Vol.
Yes
July 4
$15,680 Vol.
Yes
July 5
$15,470 Vol.
Yes
July 6
$17,992 Vol.
Yes
July 7
$23,676 Vol.
No
July 8
$9,111 Vol.
Yes
July 9
$11,506 Vol.
No
July 10
$26,575 Vol.
No
July 11
$25,943 Vol.
Yes
July 12
$29,088 Vol.
Yes
July 13
$8,601 Vol.
Yes
July 14
$8,275 Vol.
Yes
July 15
$15,534 Vol.
Yes
July 16
$20,979 Vol.
No
July 17
$8,095 Vol.
Yes
July 18
$21,930 Vol.
Yes
July 19
$11,898 Vol.
Yes
July 20
$11,844 Vol.
No
July 21
$10,787 Vol.
Yes
July 22
$7,662 Vol.
Yes
July 23
$12,018 Vol.
Yes
July 24
$11,285 Vol.
Yes
July 25
$5,278 Vol.
No
July 26
$4,756 Vol.
Yes
July 27
$7,733 Vol.
Yes
July 28
$8,004 Vol.
Yes
July 29
$4,301 Vol.
Yes
July 30
$12,336 Vol.
No
July 31
$10,820 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, including direct commentary on foreign policy, tariffs, immigration enforcement, and political opponents, drives trader consensus on daily insult markets, with near-continuous streaks observed since mid-June 2026 pushing implied probabilities above 90% for additional instances. Primary catalysts include ongoing posts related to Iran developments, trade measures, and domestic policy that often feature critical language. As president, his platform remains the main channel for unfiltered statements, consistent with historical patterns of using social media to shape narratives. Upcoming factors that could influence outcomes include scheduled diplomatic events, legislative votes, or economic data releases that prompt responses. Markets reflect real-money trader assessments of these recurring dynamics rather than guarantees.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ET
Volume
$431,181Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, including direct commentary on foreign policy, tariffs, immigration enforcement, and political opponents, drives trader consensus on daily insult markets, with near-continuous streaks observed since mid-June 2026 pushing implied probabilities above 90% for additional instances. Primary catalysts include ongoing posts related to Iran developments, trade measures, and domestic policy that often feature critical language. As president, his platform remains the main channel for unfiltered statements, consistent with historical patterns of using social media to shape narratives. Upcoming factors that could influence outcomes include scheduled diplomatic events, legislative votes, or economic data releases that prompt responses. Markets reflect real-money trader assessments of these recurring dynamics rather than guarantees.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$431,181Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 1, 2026, 1:41 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
Trump's frequent Truth Social activity, including direct commentary on foreign policy, tariffs, immigration enforcement, and political opponents, drives trader consensus on daily insult markets, with near-continuous streaks observed since mid-June 2026 pushing implied probabilities above 90% for additional instances. Primary catalysts include ongoing posts related to Iran developments, trade measures, and domestic policy that often feature critical language. As president, his platform remains the main channel for unfiltered statements, consistent with historical patterns of using social media to shape narratives. Upcoming factors that could influence outcomes include scheduled diplomatic events, legislative votes, or economic data releases that prompt responses. Markets reflect real-money trader assessments of these recurring dynamics rather than guarantees.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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