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Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

icon for Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

>99% peluang
Polymarket

$876,625 Vol.

>99% peluang
Polymarket

$876,625 Vol.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump and Iranian officials have reached and signed a preliminary memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of further talks on nuclear issues and sanctions. President Trump signed a hard copy of the framework during the G7 summit in France, with the document now described as in effect by administration officials. This sequence of confirmed actions, including electronic and physical signatures, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that a deal meeting the market’s physical-signature condition has occurred. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether implementation disputes or breakdowns in the follow-on negotiations could prompt any formal reversal or reinterpretation of the signed text before market resolution.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.

The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.

If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$876,625
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump and Iranian officials have reached and signed a preliminary memorandum of understanding to end recent hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and launch 60 days of further talks on nuclear issues and sanctions. President Trump signed a hard copy of the framework during the G7 summit in France, with the document now described as in effect by administration officials. This sequence of confirmed actions, including electronic and physical signatures, has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that a deal meeting the market’s physical-signature condition has occurred. Remaining uncertainty centers on whether implementation disputes or breakdowns in the follow-on negotiations could prompt any formal reversal or reinterpretation of the signed text before market resolution.

On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

“Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify.

The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.

If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$876,625
Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jun 16, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
On June 14, 2026, the US and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement between the two countries, with an announced signing ceremony on June 19. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump physically signs the agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026 by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Physically signs” means that Donald Trump personally signs the agreement by hand, including by signing a physical copy of the agreement or another signature page that forms part of the agreement. Electronic or digital signatures will not qualify. The “agreement announced by the United States and Iran on June 14, 2026” includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. If the United States and Iran complete the physical signing of the agreement (e.g., through a signing ceremony) and Trump does not physically sign the agreement, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham "Ya" atau "Tidak" berdasarkan apakah mereka yakin event ini akan terjadi. Probabilitas crowd-sourced saat ini adalah 100% untuk "Yes." Misalnya, jika "Ya" dihargai 100¢, pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?" telah menghasilkan $876.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jun 16, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?," cukup pilih apakah kamu yakin jawabannya "Ya" atau "Tidak." Setiap sisi memiliki harga saat ini yang mencerminkan probabilitas tersirat pasar. Masukkan jumlah kamu dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" dan hasilnya diselesaikan sebagai "Ya," setiap saham membayar $1. Jika diselesaikan sebagai "Tidak," saham "Ya" kamu bernilai $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Probabilitas saat ini untuk "Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?" adalah 100% untuk "Yes." Ini berarti keramaian Polymarket saat ini percaya ada peluang 100% bahwa event ini akan terjadi. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time berdasarkan trade aktual, memberikan sinyal yang terus diperbarui tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.