Trump has exercised his constitutional clemency authority repeatedly during the second term, beginning with a broad January 20, 2025, action covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants and extending through named pardons and commutations in subsequent months. Official Department of Justice records document additional grants in January, February, June, and July 2026, including cases tied to environmental violations and other federal offenses. These actions, combined with ongoing pardon attorney reviews and public announcements, establish a clear pattern of use that shapes trader assessments of near-term grants. Scheduled or anticipated clemency reviews tied to the administration’s calendar could further influence probabilities for markets tied to specific deadlines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$10,509 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
23%
$10,509 Vol.
August 31
$2,431 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised his constitutional clemency authority repeatedly during the second term, beginning with a broad January 20, 2025, action covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants and extending through named pardons and commutations in subsequent months. Official Department of Justice records document additional grants in January, February, June, and July 2026, including cases tied to environmental violations and other federal offenses. These actions, combined with ongoing pardon attorney reviews and public announcements, establish a clear pattern of use that shapes trader assessments of near-term grants. Scheduled or anticipated clemency reviews tied to the administration’s calendar could further influence probabilities for markets tied to specific deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volume
$10,509Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised his constitutional clemency authority repeatedly during the second term, beginning with a broad January 20, 2025, action covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants and extending through named pardons and commutations in subsequent months. Official Department of Justice records document additional grants in January, February, June, and July 2026, including cases tied to environmental violations and other federal offenses. These actions, combined with ongoing pardon attorney reviews and public announcements, establish a clear pattern of use that shapes trader assessments of near-term grants. Scheduled or anticipated clemency reviews tied to the administration’s calendar could further influence probabilities for markets tied to specific deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,509Tanggal Berakhir
Jul 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has exercised his constitutional clemency authority repeatedly during the second term, beginning with a broad January 20, 2025, action covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants and extending through named pardons and commutations in subsequent months. Official Department of Justice records document additional grants in January, February, June, and July 2026, including cases tied to environmental violations and other federal offenses. These actions, combined with ongoing pardon attorney reviews and public announcements, establish a clear pattern of use that shapes trader assessments of near-term grants. Scheduled or anticipated clemency reviews tied to the administration’s calendar could further influence probabilities for markets tied to specific deadlines.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan