The Senate’s decision on September 1 to advance a continuing resolution funding government operations through December 11 without including the administration’s supplemental request has sharply reduced prospects for action before the September 30 deadline. The June $87.6 billion package, dominated by $67 billion in Defense Department costs tied to Operation Epic Fury, has drawn bipartisan skepticism, including from Appropriations Committee leaders who cite unspent prior-year balances and fiscal priorities. A summer war-powers resolution further signaled cross-aisle reluctance to authorize additional outlays for the conflict. With the Senate’s remaining calendar constrained and no standalone measure advanced, traders assign a 72 percent probability that at least $20 billion in supplemental war funding will not clear the chamber by the fiscal-year cutoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui34% peluang
BARU
BARU
Sep 30, 2026
34% peluang
BARU
BARU
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate’s decision on September 1 to advance a continuing resolution funding government operations through December 11 without including the administration’s supplemental request has sharply reduced prospects for action before the September 30 deadline. The June $87.6 billion package, dominated by $67 billion in Defense Department costs tied to Operation Epic Fury, has drawn bipartisan skepticism, including from Appropriations Committee leaders who cite unspent prior-year balances and fiscal priorities. A summer war-powers resolution further signaled cross-aisle reluctance to authorize additional outlays for the conflict. With the Senate’s remaining calendar constrained and no standalone measure advanced, traders assign a 72 percent probability that at least $20 billion in supplemental war funding will not clear the chamber by the fiscal-year cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jun 26, 2026, 5:02 PM ET
Volume
$587Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Senate’s decision on September 1 to advance a continuing resolution funding government operations through December 11 without including the administration’s supplemental request has sharply reduced prospects for action before the September 30 deadline. The June $87.6 billion package, dominated by $67 billion in Defense Department costs tied to Operation Epic Fury, has drawn bipartisan skepticism, including from Appropriations Committee leaders who cite unspent prior-year balances and fiscal priorities. A summer war-powers resolution further signaled cross-aisle reluctance to authorize additional outlays for the conflict. With the Senate’s remaining calendar constrained and no standalone measure advanced, traders assign a 72 percent probability that at least $20 billion in supplemental war funding will not clear the chamber by the fiscal-year cutoff.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a bill that, if enacted, would provide at least $20 billion in supplemental funding to the Department of Defense or otherwise to the United States military by September 30, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$587Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jun 26, 2026, 5:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Senate’s decision on September 1 to advance a continuing resolution funding government operations through December 11 without including the administration’s supplemental request has sharply reduced prospects for action before the September 30 deadline. The June $87.6 billion package, dominated by $67 billion in Defense Department costs tied to Operation Epic Fury, has drawn bipartisan skepticism, including from Appropriations Committee leaders who cite unspent prior-year balances and fiscal priorities. A summer war-powers resolution further signaled cross-aisle reluctance to authorize additional outlays for the conflict. With the Senate’s remaining calendar constrained and no standalone measure advanced, traders assign a 72 percent probability that at least $20 billion in supplemental war funding will not clear the chamber by the fiscal-year cutoff.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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