Nigel Farage's decisive victory in the August 2026 Clacton by-election has locked in trader consensus at near-certainty for an increased vote share. He secured 63.3% of the vote—up 17 points from his 46.2% in the 2024 general election—against a field dominated by novelty candidates after major parties boycotted the contest he triggered via resignation. Pre-election constituency polling from Survation showed him on track for roughly 73%, reflecting strong retention among Reform UK supporters in the constituency. With results now confirmed and turnout at 44%, only procedural steps such as an official declaration or any unforeseen recount could still alter the final tally for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui>99% peluang
$31,748 Vol.
$31,748 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
>99% peluang
$31,748 Vol.
$31,748 Vol.
Aug 13, 2026
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Nigel Farage's decisive victory in the August 2026 Clacton by-election has locked in trader consensus at near-certainty for an increased vote share. He secured 63.3% of the vote—up 17 points from his 46.2% in the 2024 general election—against a field dominated by novelty candidates after major parties boycotted the contest he triggered via resignation. Pre-election constituency polling from Survation showed him on track for roughly 73%, reflecting strong retention among Reform UK supporters in the constituency. With results now confirmed and turnout at 44%, only procedural steps such as an official declaration or any unforeseen recount could still alter the final tally for market resolution.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 7, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
Volume
$31,748Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 7, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).Nigel Farage's decisive victory in the August 2026 Clacton by-election has locked in trader consensus at near-certainty for an increased vote share. He secured 63.3% of the vote—up 17 points from his 46.2% in the 2024 general election—against a field dominated by novelty candidates after major parties boycotted the contest he triggered via resignation. Pre-election constituency polling from Survation showed him on track for roughly 73%, reflecting strong retention among Reform UK supporters in the constituency. With results now confirmed and turnout at 44%, only procedural steps such as an official declaration or any unforeseen recount could still alter the final tally for market resolution.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage receives a greater percentage of valid votes in the next by-election in Clacton than in the 2024 election in Clacton. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Percentages of the valid votes received by Nigel Farage in each election will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes Nigel Farage received by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If Nigel Farage does not contest the next by-election in Clacton, if no by-election happens by June 30, 2027, or if the results of the by-election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
Volume
$31,748Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 13, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 7, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Hasil diajukan: Yes
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: Yes
Nigel Farage's decisive victory in the August 2026 Clacton by-election has locked in trader consensus at near-certainty for an increased vote share. He secured 63.3% of the vote—up 17 points from his 46.2% in the 2024 general election—against a field dominated by novelty candidates after major parties boycotted the contest he triggered via resignation. Pre-election constituency polling from Survation showed him on track for roughly 73%, reflecting strong retention among Reform UK supporters in the constituency. With results now confirmed and turnout at 44%, only procedural steps such as an official declaration or any unforeseen recount could still alter the final tally for market resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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