Diplomatic expulsions of U.S. ambassadors remain rare despite ongoing bilateral frictions, including Iran’s March 2026 offer of Strait of Hormuz passage incentives and public criticism from several nations over U.S. policy. No government has declared a U.S. envoy persona non grata since the market opened, with Canada’s prime minister explicitly ruling out such a step in response to recent comments. Many U.S. posts already operate under chargés d’affaires following domestic recalls, reducing the immediate visibility of ambassador-level disputes. Traders therefore assign higher weight to continuity in formal relations through year-end, absent a major escalation or reciprocal cycle that would alter the current consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$16,863 Vol.
$16,863 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$16,863 Vol.
$16,863 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Diplomatic expulsions of U.S. ambassadors remain rare despite ongoing bilateral frictions, including Iran’s March 2026 offer of Strait of Hormuz passage incentives and public criticism from several nations over U.S. policy. No government has declared a U.S. envoy persona non grata since the market opened, with Canada’s prime minister explicitly ruling out such a step in response to recent comments. Many U.S. posts already operate under chargés d’affaires following domestic recalls, reducing the immediate visibility of ambassador-level disputes. Traders therefore assign higher weight to continuity in formal relations through year-end, absent a major escalation or reciprocal cycle that would alter the current consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Volume
$16,863Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Diplomatic expulsions of U.S. ambassadors remain rare despite ongoing bilateral frictions, including Iran’s March 2026 offer of Strait of Hormuz passage incentives and public criticism from several nations over U.S. policy. No government has declared a U.S. envoy persona non grata since the market opened, with Canada’s prime minister explicitly ruling out such a step in response to recent comments. Many U.S. posts already operate under chargés d’affaires following domestic recalls, reducing the immediate visibility of ambassador-level disputes. Traders therefore assign higher weight to continuity in formal relations through year-end, absent a major escalation or reciprocal cycle that would alter the current consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any U.S. ambassador is expelled from their assigned country by the government of that country between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59: PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Any expulsion from a country where a U.S. ambassador is assigned as of the time of this market’s creation will qualify.
For the purposes of resolving this market, an official announcement that a U.S. ambassador will be or is being expelled will suffice regardless of whether or not the respective ambassador leaves the country within this market’s timeframe.
Qualifying announcements must be definitive, unambiguous, official statements issued by an authorized governmental person or entity.
Whether the ambassador resigns, is recalled, or otherwise departs voluntarily will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, including the U.S. Department of State, as well as official information from the relevant expelling government; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$16,863Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diplomatic expulsions of U.S. ambassadors remain rare despite ongoing bilateral frictions, including Iran’s March 2026 offer of Strait of Hormuz passage incentives and public criticism from several nations over U.S. policy. No government has declared a U.S. envoy persona non grata since the market opened, with Canada’s prime minister explicitly ruling out such a step in response to recent comments. Many U.S. posts already operate under chargés d’affaires following domestic recalls, reducing the immediate visibility of ambassador-level disputes. Traders therefore assign higher weight to continuity in formal relations through year-end, absent a major escalation or reciprocal cycle that would alter the current consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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