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Politik·Wisconsin Primary

WI-07 Republican Primary Winner

icon for WI-07 Republican Primary Winner
Politik·Wisconsin Primary

WI-07 Republican Primary Winner

Michael Alfonso 100.0%

Don Raihala <1%

Jessi Ebben <1%

Kevin Hermening <1%

Polymarket

$26,383 Vol.

Michael Alfonso 100.0%

Don Raihala <1%

Jessi Ebben <1%

Kevin Hermening <1%

Polymarket

$26,383 Vol.

icon for Don Raihala

Don Raihala

$1,043 Vol.

No

icon for Michael Alfonso

Michael Alfonso

$14,430 Vol.

Yes

icon for Jessi Ebben

Jessi Ebben

$2,983 Vol.

No

icon for Kevin Hermening

Kevin Hermening

$6,628 Vol.

No

icon for Niina Baum

Niina Baum

$1,299 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Michael Alfonso secured overwhelming trader consensus in the WI-07 Republican primary through high-profile endorsements from President Trump and former district Representative Sean Duffy, whose family connection amplified visibility and grassroots support in the solidly Republican northern Wisconsin district. Alfonso's campaign demonstrated superior fundraising exceeding $1.2 million and consistent polling leads, positioning him as the clear frontrunner among competitors including Jessi Ebben, Kevin Hermening, Niina Baum, and Don Raihala ahead of the August 11 vote. The open seat created by Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid further concentrated attention on established America First messaging and organizational advantages. Late developments such as unexpected legal challenges or turnout anomalies could theoretically shift outcomes, though primary results have now aligned with the market's implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$26,383
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Michael Alfonso secured overwhelming trader consensus in the WI-07 Republican primary through high-profile endorsements from President Trump and former district Representative Sean Duffy, whose family connection amplified visibility and grassroots support in the solidly Republican northern Wisconsin district. Alfonso's campaign demonstrated superior fundraising exceeding $1.2 million and consistent polling leads, positioning him as the clear frontrunner among competitors including Jessi Ebben, Kevin Hermening, Niina Baum, and Don Raihala ahead of the August 11 vote. The open seat created by Tom Tiffany's gubernatorial bid further concentrated attention on established America First messaging and organizational advantages. Late developments such as unexpected legal challenges or turnout anomalies could theoretically shift outcomes, though primary results have now aligned with the market's implied probability.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$26,383
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 11, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary is scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Hasil diajukan: Yes

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: Yes

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"WI-07 Republican Primary Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Michael Alfonso" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Don Raihala" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "WI-07 Republican Primary Winner" telah menghasilkan $26.4K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 20, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "WI-07 Republican Primary Winner," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "WI-07 Republican Primary Winner" adalah "Michael Alfonso" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Don Raihala" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "WI-07 Republican Primary Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.