Xi Jinping’s intensified anti-corruption drive and emphasis on political loyalty have driven repeated senior military removals through mid-2026, including the January investigations of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and joint staff chief Liu Zhenli, which further depleted the already reduced CMC. These actions build on prior 2025 purges of other CMC members and over 100 officers since 2022, reflecting Xi’s push to centralize control ahead of PLA modernization targets. Parallel developments include the April 2026 probe into former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui and ongoing cadre assessments tied to the 2027 21st Party Congress preparations, where loyalty vetting and provincial reshuffles could expand the scope of personnel changes. Trader focus centers on whether the pattern of high-level removals will continue or shift toward other sectors by year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$199,013 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Dong Jun
13%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Cai Qi
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Wang Huning
4%
Ding Xuexiang
4%
Li Xi
2%
Li Qiang
2%
Wang Yi
2%
$199,013 Vol.
Dong Jun
$37,875 Vol.
13%
Zhang Shengmin
$28,171 Vol.
6%
Cai Qi
$43,298 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$10,974 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$11,823 Vol.
4%
Ding Xuexiang
$16,094 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$28,260 Vol.
2%
Li Qiang
$6,851 Vol.
2%
Wang Yi
$15,668 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s intensified anti-corruption drive and emphasis on political loyalty have driven repeated senior military removals through mid-2026, including the January investigations of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and joint staff chief Liu Zhenli, which further depleted the already reduced CMC. These actions build on prior 2025 purges of other CMC members and over 100 officers since 2022, reflecting Xi’s push to centralize control ahead of PLA modernization targets. Parallel developments include the April 2026 probe into former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui and ongoing cadre assessments tied to the 2027 21st Party Congress preparations, where loyalty vetting and provincial reshuffles could expand the scope of personnel changes. Trader focus centers on whether the pattern of high-level removals will continue or shift toward other sectors by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volume
$199,013Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s intensified anti-corruption drive and emphasis on political loyalty have driven repeated senior military removals through mid-2026, including the January investigations of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and joint staff chief Liu Zhenli, which further depleted the already reduced CMC. These actions build on prior 2025 purges of other CMC members and over 100 officers since 2022, reflecting Xi’s push to centralize control ahead of PLA modernization targets. Parallel developments include the April 2026 probe into former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui and ongoing cadre assessments tied to the 2027 21st Party Congress preparations, where loyalty vetting and provincial reshuffles could expand the scope of personnel changes. Trader focus centers on whether the pattern of high-level removals will continue or shift toward other sectors by year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$199,013Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s intensified anti-corruption drive and emphasis on political loyalty have driven repeated senior military removals through mid-2026, including the January investigations of Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and joint staff chief Liu Zhenli, which further depleted the already reduced CMC. These actions build on prior 2025 purges of other CMC members and over 100 officers since 2022, reflecting Xi’s push to centralize control ahead of PLA modernization targets. Parallel developments include the April 2026 probe into former Xinjiang party secretary Ma Xingrui and ongoing cadre assessments tied to the 2027 21st Party Congress preparations, where loyalty vetting and provincial reshuffles could expand the scope of personnel changes. Trader focus centers on whether the pattern of high-level removals will continue or shift toward other sectors by year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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