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Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Olahraga·Mma

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Tom Aspinall 51%

Ciryl Gane 37%

Josh Hokit 1.7%

Serghei Spivac <1%

Polymarket

$336,777 Vol.

Tom Aspinall 51%

Ciryl Gane 37%

Josh Hokit 1.7%

Serghei Spivac <1%

Polymarket

$336,777 Vol.

Tom Aspinall

$7,941 Vol.

51%

Ciryl Gane

$6,606 Vol.

36%

Josh Hokit

$579 Vol.

2%

Serghei Spivac

$549 Vol.

1%

Alexander Volkov

$27,391 Vol.

<1%

Tyrell Fortune

$370 Vol.

<1%

Jailton Almeida

$503 Vol.

<1%

Rizvan Kuniev

$411 Vol.

<1%

Curtis Blaydes

$66,703 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Lewis

$9,583 Vol.

<1%

Marcin Tybura

$166,795 Vol.

<1%

Sergei Pavlovich

$555 Vol.

<1%

Waldo Cortes Acosta

$48,207 Vol.

<1%

Ante Delija

$584 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Tom Aspinall holds the undisputed UFC heavyweight title and sits as the consensus favorite for year-end 2026, reflecting his strong recent form before the October 2025 eye-poke no-contest against Ciryl Gane and his confirmed medical clearance to return. Traders price in the planned Aspinall-Gane unification bout at UFC Paris in September as the pivotal near-term event, with Aspinall’s defensive wrestling, knockout power, and divisional experience providing the edge in the matchup. Gane’s 38% implied probability stems from his interim title win via second-round TKO of Alex Pereira in June 2026, plus his technical striking and prior competitive showing against Aspinall. Lower-ranked contenders such as Alexander Volkov and Curtis Blaydes trail significantly, as the division’s immediate title picture centers on the top two while injury recovery timelines and fight scheduling limit near-term opportunities for others.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$336,777
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Tom Aspinall holds the undisputed UFC heavyweight title and sits as the consensus favorite for year-end 2026, reflecting his strong recent form before the October 2025 eye-poke no-contest against Ciryl Gane and his confirmed medical clearance to return. Traders price in the planned Aspinall-Gane unification bout at UFC Paris in September as the pivotal near-term event, with Aspinall’s defensive wrestling, knockout power, and divisional experience providing the edge in the matchup. Gane’s 38% implied probability stems from his interim title win via second-round TKO of Alex Pereira in June 2026, plus his technical striking and prior competitive showing against Aspinall. Lower-ranked contenders such as Alexander Volkov and Curtis Blaydes trail significantly, as the division’s immediate title picture centers on the top two while injury recovery timelines and fight scheduling limit near-term opportunities for others.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$336,777
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 14 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tom Aspinall" di 51%, diikuti oleh "Ciryl Gane" di 36%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 51¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" telah menghasilkan $336.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 4, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?," jelajahi 14 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" adalah "Tom Aspinall" di 51%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 51% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Ciryl Gane" di 36%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.