If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
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Jul 26 2026
Maine Democratic delegates confirm Troy Jackson as nominee to face Susan Collins
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
Following the convention, Maine Democratic delegates reaffirmed their support for Troy Jackson as the nominee, setting up a high-profile general election against incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially nominated as Maine Democratic Senate candidate at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party nominating convention, Troy Jackson was officially selected as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially selected as Maine Democratic Senate nominee at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party's nominating convention, Troy Jackson won a near-unanimous vote to replace Graham Platner as the Senate nominee, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially chosen as Maine Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At a special nominating convention, Maine Democrats overwhelmingly selected Troy Jackson as their new Senate nominee to replace Graham Platner, setting him up to challenge incumbent Republican Susan Collins in the November election.
Jul 25 2026
Maine Democratic Party holds nominating convention, selects Troy Jackson as Senate nominee
Troy Jackson jumps to 100%9%
At a state party convention in Bangor, Maine, 601 delegates voted overwhelmingly to select Troy Jackson as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner for the U.S. Senate race.
Jul 21 2026
Troy Jackson consolidates support as frontrunner for Maine Democratic Senate nomination
Troy Jackson jumps to 91%12%
Troy Jackson emerged as the clear frontrunner for the Democratic nomination after other major candidates dropped out and he secured commitments from a large majority of delegates ahead of the convention.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson emerges as likely Maine Democratic Senate nominee as opponents drop out
Troy Jackson jumps to 86%7%
Troy Jackson gained overwhelming support among delegates and saw major opponents like Shenna Bellows and Jordan Wood drop out, consolidating his position as the frontrunner to replace Platner.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson gains momentum as top Maine Senate Democratic candidate after opponents drop out
Troy Jackson surges to 70%25%
Several major Democratic candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, consolidating support behind him and boosting his chances to become the nominee.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson effectively secures Maine Democratic Senate nomination with delegate support
Troy Jackson surges to 91%21%
Troy Jackson's preferred delegates won a majority of seats at county nominating meetings, effectively securing his nomination ahead of the official convention, which increased market confidence in his nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders drop out, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson surges to 79%43%
Several top candidates, including Nirav Shah and Jordan Wood, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, who emerged as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders withdraw, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson jumps to 89%10%
Several top candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns, leaving Troy Jackson as the clear frontrunner with overwhelming delegate support ahead of the nominating convention. This caused Jackson's market price to surge.
Jul 18 2026
Maine counties hold delegate nominating meetings for Senate replacement convention
Yes rises to 78%3%
All 16 Maine counties conducted delegate nominating meetings to select 500 delegates who would participate in the July 25 convention to choose the new Democratic Senate nominee.
Jul 15 2026
Field of candidates emerges to replace Graham Platner as Maine Democratic Senate nominee
Following Platner's withdrawal, multiple Democrats filed to run as replacement candidates, initiating a competitive race for the party's nomination ahead of the July 27 deadline.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party finalizes process to select replacement nominee for Graham Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
Following Platner's withdrawal, the Maine Democratic Party announced a special nominating convention to be held on July 25, where delegates from all counties would vote to select the new Senate nominee.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party sets plan for nominating convention to replace Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
The Maine Democratic Party announced a plan to hold a nominating convention to select a new Senate nominee by July 27, following Platner's withdrawal. This announcement set the stage for a competitive replacement process.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally files paperwork to withdraw from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner officially submitted his withdrawal paperwork to the Maine Secretary of State, confirming his exit from the race and triggering the process for the Maine Democratic Party to select a replacement nominee by July 27.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally withdraws from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner submitted official paperwork to withdraw from the Senate race, confirming his exit and enabling the Maine Democratic Party to begin the process of selecting a replacement nominee. This formal withdrawal solidified the market's shift away from Platner.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner withdraws from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegations
Graham Platner dips to 0%4%
Graham Platner, the Democratic primary winner, ended his campaign following sexual assault allegations, which he denied. This triggered the Maine Democratic Party's process to select a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to collapse to zero.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner suspends Maine Senate campaign amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced he was suspending his campaign after a woman accused him of sexual assault, which he denied. This announcement initiated the process for the Maine Democratic Party to find a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to plummet.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner announces plan to withdraw from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced his intention to withdraw from the U.S. Senate race after facing a credible sexual assault allegation, which led to calls from Democratic leaders for him to step down, severely impacting his campaign viability.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Jul 26 2026
Maine Democratic delegates confirm Troy Jackson as nominee to face Susan Collins
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
Following the convention, Maine Democratic delegates reaffirmed their support for Troy Jackson as the nominee, setting up a high-profile general election against incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially nominated as Maine Democratic Senate candidate at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party nominating convention, Troy Jackson was officially selected as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially selected as Maine Democratic Senate nominee at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party's nominating convention, Troy Jackson won a near-unanimous vote to replace Graham Platner as the Senate nominee, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially chosen as Maine Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At a special nominating convention, Maine Democrats overwhelmingly selected Troy Jackson as their new Senate nominee to replace Graham Platner, setting him up to challenge incumbent Republican Susan Collins in the November election.
Jul 25 2026
Maine Democratic Party holds nominating convention, selects Troy Jackson as Senate nominee
Troy Jackson jumps to 100%9%
At a state party convention in Bangor, Maine, 601 delegates voted overwhelmingly to select Troy Jackson as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner for the U.S. Senate race.
Jul 21 2026
Troy Jackson consolidates support as frontrunner for Maine Democratic Senate nomination
Troy Jackson jumps to 91%12%
Troy Jackson emerged as the clear frontrunner for the Democratic nomination after other major candidates dropped out and he secured commitments from a large majority of delegates ahead of the convention.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson emerges as likely Maine Democratic Senate nominee as opponents drop out
Troy Jackson jumps to 86%7%
Troy Jackson gained overwhelming support among delegates and saw major opponents like Shenna Bellows and Jordan Wood drop out, consolidating his position as the frontrunner to replace Platner.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson gains momentum as top Maine Senate Democratic candidate after opponents drop out
Troy Jackson surges to 70%25%
Several major Democratic candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, consolidating support behind him and boosting his chances to become the nominee.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson effectively secures Maine Democratic Senate nomination with delegate support
Troy Jackson surges to 91%21%
Troy Jackson's preferred delegates won a majority of seats at county nominating meetings, effectively securing his nomination ahead of the official convention, which increased market confidence in his nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders drop out, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson surges to 79%43%
Several top candidates, including Nirav Shah and Jordan Wood, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, who emerged as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders withdraw, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson jumps to 89%10%
Several top candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns, leaving Troy Jackson as the clear frontrunner with overwhelming delegate support ahead of the nominating convention. This caused Jackson's market price to surge.
Jul 18 2026
Maine counties hold delegate nominating meetings for Senate replacement convention
Yes rises to 78%3%
All 16 Maine counties conducted delegate nominating meetings to select 500 delegates who would participate in the July 25 convention to choose the new Democratic Senate nominee.
Jul 15 2026
Field of candidates emerges to replace Graham Platner as Maine Democratic Senate nominee
Following Platner's withdrawal, multiple Democrats filed to run as replacement candidates, initiating a competitive race for the party's nomination ahead of the July 27 deadline.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party finalizes process to select replacement nominee for Graham Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
Following Platner's withdrawal, the Maine Democratic Party announced a special nominating convention to be held on July 25, where delegates from all counties would vote to select the new Senate nominee.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party sets plan for nominating convention to replace Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
The Maine Democratic Party announced a plan to hold a nominating convention to select a new Senate nominee by July 27, following Platner's withdrawal. This announcement set the stage for a competitive replacement process.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally files paperwork to withdraw from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner officially submitted his withdrawal paperwork to the Maine Secretary of State, confirming his exit from the race and triggering the process for the Maine Democratic Party to select a replacement nominee by July 27.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally withdraws from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner submitted official paperwork to withdraw from the Senate race, confirming his exit and enabling the Maine Democratic Party to begin the process of selecting a replacement nominee. This formal withdrawal solidified the market's shift away from Platner.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner withdraws from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegations
Graham Platner dips to 0%4%
Graham Platner, the Democratic primary winner, ended his campaign following sexual assault allegations, which he denied. This triggered the Maine Democratic Party's process to select a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to collapse to zero.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner suspends Maine Senate campaign amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced he was suspending his campaign after a woman accused him of sexual assault, which he denied. This announcement initiated the process for the Maine Democratic Party to find a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to plummet.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner announces plan to withdraw from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced his intention to withdraw from the U.S. Senate race after facing a credible sexual assault allegation, which led to calls from Democratic leaders for him to step down, severely impacting his campaign viability.
"Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 15 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Troy Jackson" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Graham Platner" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.
Per hari ini, "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?" telah menghasilkan $904.3K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 6, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.
Untuk trading di "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?," jelajahi 15 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.
Unggulan saat ini untuk "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?" adalah "Troy Jackson" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Graham Platner" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.
Aturan resolusi untuk "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.
Ya. Kamu tidak perlu trading untuk tetap terinformasi. Halaman ini berfungsi sebagai pelacak langsung untuk "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?." Probabilitas hasil diperbarui secara real-time saat trade baru masuk. Kamu bisa menandai halaman ini dan memeriksa bagian komentar untuk melihat apa yang dikatakan trader lain. Kamu juga bisa menggunakan filter rentang waktu pada grafik untuk melihat bagaimana peluang bergeser seiring waktu. Ini jendela real-time gratis tentang apa yang diharapkan pasar.
Peluang Polymarket ditetapkan oleh trader nyata yang menaruh uang nyata di balik keyakinan mereka, yang cenderung menghasilkan prediksi yang akurat. Dengan $904.3K diperdagangkan pada "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?," harga-harga ini mengumpulkan pengetahuan dan keyakinan kolektif dari ribuan peserta — sering kali mengalahkan jajak pendapat, prakiraan ahli, dan survei tradisional. Pasar prediksi seperti Polymarket memiliki rekam jejak akurasi yang kuat, terutama saat event mendekati tanggal resolusinya. Misalnya, Polymarket memiliki skor akurasi satu bulan sebesar 94%. Untuk statistik terbaru tentang akurasi prediksi Polymarket, kunjungi halaman akurasi di Polymarket.
Untuk melakukan trade pertamamu di "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?," daftar akun Polymarket gratis dan isi dengan crypto, kartu kredit atau debit, atau transfer bank. Setelah akunmu terisi, kembali ke halaman ini, pilih hasil yang ingin kamu trading, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika kamu baru di pasar prediksi, klik link "Cara kerjanya" di bagian atas halaman Polymarket mana pun untuk panduan langkah demi langkah tentang cara trading.
Di Polymarket, harga setiap hasil mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Harga 100¢ untuk "Troy Jackson" di pasar "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?" berarti trader secara kolektif percaya ada sekitar peluang 100% bahwa "Troy Jackson" akan menjadi hasil yang benar. Jika kamu membeli saham "Ya" di 100¢ dan hasilnya benar, kamu menerima $1,00 per saham — keuntungan 0¢ per saham. Jika salah, saham tersebut bernilai $0.
Pasar "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?" telah diselesaikan. Hasil akhir telah ditentukan dan pasar tidak lagi terbuka untuk trading. Kamu masih bisa meninjau peluang historis, probabilitas hasil, dan komentar di halaman ini untuk melihat bagaimana prediksi berkembang seiring waktu.
Pasar "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?" memiliki diskusi yang berkembang dengan 4 komentar di mana trader berbagi analisis, memperdebatkan hasil, dan membahas perkembangan terkini. Scroll ke bawah ke bagian komentar untuk membaca apa yang dipikirkan peserta lain. Kamu juga bisa memfilter berdasarkan "Top Holder" untuk melihat posisi trader terbesar pasar, atau periksa tab "Aktivitas" untuk feed real-time dari trade.
Polymarket adalah pasar prediksi terbesar di dunia, di mana kamu bisa tetap terinformasi dan mendapatkan keuntungan dari pengetahuanmu tentang event dunia nyata. Trader membeli dan menjual saham pada hasil untuk topik mulai dari politik dan pemilu hingga crypto, keuangan, olahraga, teknologi, dan budaya, termasuk pasar seperti "Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?." Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time yang didukung oleh keyakinan finansial, sering kali memberikan sinyal yang lebih cepat dan lebih akurat daripada jajak pendapat, pakar, atau survei tradisional.
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