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Politik·Primer

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

icon for Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
Politik·Primer

Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

$254,802 Vol.

Aug 18, 2026
Polymarket

$254,802 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Tom Begich

Tom Begich

$15,693 Vol.

100%

icon for Bernadette Wilson

Bernadette Wilson

$17,780 Vol.

92%

icon for Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

$14,019 Vol.

82%

icon for Dave Bronson

Dave Bronson

$3,571 Vol.

73%

icon for Treg Taylor

Treg Taylor

$67,847 Vol.

27%

icon for Click Bishop

Click Bishop

$42,119 Vol.

28%

icon for Bill Walker

Bill Walker

$1,561 Vol.

13%

icon for Adam Crum

Adam Crum

$7,575 Vol.

9%

icon for Edna DeVries

Edna DeVries

$13,554 Vol.

3%

icon for Jessica Faircloth

Jessica Faircloth

$156 Vol.

2%

icon for Matt Heilala

Matt Heilala

$4,222 Vol.

1%

icon for Shelley Hughes

Shelley Hughes

$3,267 Vol.

1%

icon for Bruce Walden

Bruce Walden

$2,428 Vol.

1%

icon for Matt Claman

Matt Claman

$39,194 Vol.

1%

icon for Hank Kroll

Hank Kroll

$1,938 Vol.

1%

icon for Destry J. Payne Sr.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

$1,231 Vol.

1%

icon for Gregg Brelsford

Gregg Brelsford

$449 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nancy Dahlstrom

Nancy Dahlstrom

$15,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for James Parkin

James Parkin

$2,676 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lesil McGuire

Lesil McGuire

$384 Vol.

40%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features a crowded field of 17 candidates for the open gubernatorial seat, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited. Recent July polling shows fragmented support among frontrunners including Tom Begich, Click Bishop, David Bronson, Bernadette Wilson, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, and Bill Walker, none consistently exceeding 20-25% amid a mix of Republicans, Democrats, and independents. A late-July candidate forum in Anchorage highlighted voter focus on education funding, energy costs, and fiscal issues. Trader consensus on advancement probabilities reflects this competitive structure, historical patterns of top-four advancement in Alaska's system, and the narrow window before ballots close, with only the four highest vote-getters advancing to the November general regardless of party.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volume
$254,802
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary features a crowded field of 17 candidates for the open gubernatorial seat, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited. Recent July polling shows fragmented support among frontrunners including Tom Begich, Click Bishop, David Bronson, Bernadette Wilson, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins, and Bill Walker, none consistently exceeding 20-25% amid a mix of Republicans, Democrats, and independents. A late-July candidate forum in Anchorage highlighted voter focus on education funding, energy costs, and fiscal issues. Trader consensus on advancement probabilities reflects this competitive structure, historical patterns of top-four advancement in Alaska's system, and the narrow window before ballots close, with only the four highest vote-getters advancing to the November general regardless of party.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volume
$254,802
Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 18, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

Terkait

icon for Will Tom Begich place first in the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Will Tom Begich place first in the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

59%
icon for Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?

Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?

99%
icon for Apakah Tom Begich akan memenangkan pemilihan gubernur Alaska 2026?

Apakah Tom Begich akan memenangkan pemilihan gubernur Alaska 2026?

53%
Ya

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 20 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Tom Begich" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Bernadette Wilson" di 92%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" telah menghasilkan $254.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Dec 10, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?," jelajahi 20 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" adalah "Tom Begich" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Bernadette Wilson" di 92%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.