Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment in the text-to-video market due to its consistent top rankings across arenas for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio, cinematic realism, and integration into tools like Gemini and Flow. Recent 2025-2026 updates added richer audio, improved image-to-video controls, and broader ecosystem access, reinforcing its edge over competitors. OpenAI's Sora faces a hard shutdown with the app retired in April 2026 and API ending late September, sharply reducing its viability by end of October. Chinese models from Kling, ByteDance Seedance, and Alibaba show strength in specific benchmarks like motion or length but trail in overall consensus, while others remain niche. The market reflects trader focus on verified capabilities and near-term resolution criteria rather than unconfirmed roadmaps.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiGoogle 62%
ByteDance 11%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 3.6%
Meta 1.6%
$37,577 Vol.
$37,577 Vol.

62%

ByteDance
11%

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
4%

Meta
2%

Pixverse
1%

Tencent
1%

KlingAI
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Runway
<1%

Pruna
<1%

Luma AI
<1%

Kandinsky
<1%

Lightricks
<1%

Pika
<1%

Genmo AI
<1%

OpenAI
<1%

MiniMax
<1%
Google 62%
ByteDance 11%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH 3.6%
Meta 1.6%
$37,577 Vol.
$37,577 Vol.

62%

ByteDance
11%

Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
4%

Meta
2%

Pixverse
1%

Tencent
1%

KlingAI
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Runway
<1%

Pruna
<1%

Luma AI
<1%

Kandinsky
<1%

Lightricks
<1%

Pika
<1%

Genmo AI
<1%

OpenAI
<1%

MiniMax
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment in the text-to-video market due to its consistent top rankings across arenas for prompt adherence, native synchronized audio, cinematic realism, and integration into tools like Gemini and Flow. Recent 2025-2026 updates added richer audio, improved image-to-video controls, and broader ecosystem access, reinforcing its edge over competitors. OpenAI's Sora faces a hard shutdown with the app retired in April 2026 and API ending late September, sharply reducing its viability by end of October. Chinese models from Kling, ByteDance Seedance, and Alibaba show strength in specific benchmarks like motion or length but trail in overall consensus, while others remain niche. The market reflects trader focus on verified capabilities and near-term resolution criteria rather than unconfirmed roadmaps.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan