OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT-Image-2.5 Flare and Sunburst variants, has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability. The update delivers sharper details, richer textures, more reliable multi-turn editing, and up to 50% lower latency than its predecessor, while new Sketch and template tools enhance usability. Early arena rankings place the models at the top for generation and editing, widening OpenAI’s lead over Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6 and others. With resolution days away, sustained benchmark dominance and user adoption metrics reinforce the position, though a surprise competitor release or shift in evaluation criteria before month-end could still alter outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOpenAI 97.3%
Meta 1.4%
Microsoft AI 1.3%
Google <1%
$52,161 Vol.
$52,161 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
97%
Meta
1%
Microsoft AI
1%
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Ideogram
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Recraft
<1%
Black Forest Labs
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Luma AI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Reve
<1%
OpenAI 97.3%
Meta 1.4%
Microsoft AI 1.3%
Google <1%
$52,161 Vol.
$52,161 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
OpenAI
$39,138 Vol.
97%
Meta
$794 Vol.
1%
Microsoft AI
$637 Vol.
1%
$669 Vol.
1%
SpaceXAI
$667 Vol.
1%
Ideogram
$647 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$601 Vol.
<1%
Recraft
$576 Vol.
<1%
Black Forest Labs
$629 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$534 Vol.
<1%
Luma AI
$599 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$5,431 Vol.
<1%
Reve
$1,240 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT-Image-2.5 Flare and Sunburst variants, has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability. The update delivers sharper details, richer textures, more reliable multi-turn editing, and up to 50% lower latency than its predecessor, while new Sketch and template tools enhance usability. Early arena rankings place the models at the top for generation and editing, widening OpenAI’s lead over Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6 and others. With resolution days away, sustained benchmark dominance and user adoption metrics reinforce the position, though a surprise competitor release or shift in evaluation criteria before month-end could still alter outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ET
Volume
$52,161Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT-Image-2.5 Flare and Sunburst variants, has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability. The update delivers sharper details, richer textures, more reliable multi-turn editing, and up to 50% lower latency than its predecessor, while new Sketch and template tools enhance usability. Early arena rankings place the models at the top for generation and editing, widening OpenAI’s lead over Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6 and others. With resolution days away, sustained benchmark dominance and user adoption metrics reinforce the position, though a surprise competitor release or shift in evaluation criteria before month-end could still alter outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Image Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Image Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$52,161Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 20, 2026, 7:12 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-imageResolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 8 release of ChatGPT Images 2.5, featuring GPT-Image-2.5 Flare and Sunburst variants, has driven overwhelming trader consensus at 97.3% implied probability. The update delivers sharper details, richer textures, more reliable multi-turn editing, and up to 50% lower latency than its predecessor, while new Sketch and template tools enhance usability. Early arena rankings place the models at the top for generation and editing, widening OpenAI’s lead over Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6 and others. With resolution days away, sustained benchmark dominance and user adoption metrics reinforce the position, though a surprise competitor release or shift in evaluation criteria before month-end could still alter outcomes.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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