OpenAI’s GPT Image 2 powers the dominant trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability, driven by its sustained leadership on major text-to-image leaderboards such as Artificial Analysis and LM Arena since the April 2026 launch of ChatGPT Images 2.0. The model excels in prompt accuracy, multilingual text rendering, native reasoning before generation, and multi-image consistency—capabilities that outpace rivals including Google’s Nano Banana series, Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6, Black Forest Labs’ Flux.2, Ideogram, and Recraft. No comparable releases have emerged in the past month to close the gap, leaving OpenAI’s edge intact ahead of the end-of-October resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiOpenAI 86%
Microsoft AI 4.7%
Tencent 3.8%
Black Forest Labs 3.5%
$22,004 Vol.
$22,004 Vol.

OpenAI
86%

Microsoft AI
5%

Tencent
4%

Black Forest Labs
3%

SpaceXAI
3%

Ideogram
3%

Luma AI
3%

Recraft
3%

Meta
3%

Alibaba
2%

ByteDance
2%

2%

Reve
1%
OpenAI 86%
Microsoft AI 4.7%
Tencent 3.8%
Black Forest Labs 3.5%
$22,004 Vol.
$22,004 Vol.

OpenAI
86%

Microsoft AI
5%

Tencent
4%

Black Forest Labs
3%

SpaceXAI
3%

Ideogram
3%

Luma AI
3%

Recraft
3%

Meta
3%

Alibaba
2%

ByteDance
2%

2%

Reve
1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Image Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-image (Overall) filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Image Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s GPT Image 2 powers the dominant trader consensus at 85.5% implied probability, driven by its sustained leadership on major text-to-image leaderboards such as Artificial Analysis and LM Arena since the April 2026 launch of ChatGPT Images 2.0. The model excels in prompt accuracy, multilingual text rendering, native reasoning before generation, and multi-image consistency—capabilities that outpace rivals including Google’s Nano Banana series, Microsoft’s MAI-Image-2.6, Black Forest Labs’ Flux.2, Ideogram, and Recraft. No comparable releases have emerged in the past month to close the gap, leaving OpenAI’s edge intact ahead of the end-of-October resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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