Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the Text Arena math subcategory with leading Elo-style scores around 1543, driving the 93% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in user-voted comparisons on complex reasoning, problem-solving, and STEM prompts. Its edge stems from recent frontier releases emphasizing long-horizon agentic math workflows and strong results on related benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam. With end-of-August resolution approaching, trader consensus reflects limited room for major leaderboard shifts absent immediate competitor updates. A surprise model drop from OpenAI's GPT-5.6 line or Google that quickly gains arena votes could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such rapid reversals remain unlikely before the deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 93%
OpenAI 5.1%
Google 1.4%
Alibaba <1%
$86,103 Vol.
$86,103 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
93%
OpenAI
5%
1%
Alibaba
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meta
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 93%
OpenAI 5.1%
Google 1.4%
Alibaba <1%
$86,103 Vol.
$86,103 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
$29,094 Vol.
93%
OpenAI
$11,277 Vol.
5%
$17,768 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$8,793 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$2,690 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$4,432 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$3,148 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$372 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$372 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$494 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$1,079 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$2,125 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,122 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$553 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$451 Vol.
<1%
Bytedance
$495 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$372 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$564 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$531 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$372 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the Text Arena math subcategory with leading Elo-style scores around 1543, driving the 93% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in user-voted comparisons on complex reasoning, problem-solving, and STEM prompts. Its edge stems from recent frontier releases emphasizing long-horizon agentic math workflows and strong results on related benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam. With end-of-August resolution approaching, trader consensus reflects limited room for major leaderboard shifts absent immediate competitor updates. A surprise model drop from OpenAI's GPT-5.6 line or Google that quickly gains arena votes could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such rapid reversals remain unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ET
Volume
$86,103Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the Text Arena math subcategory with leading Elo-style scores around 1543, driving the 93% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in user-voted comparisons on complex reasoning, problem-solving, and STEM prompts. Its edge stems from recent frontier releases emphasizing long-horizon agentic math workflows and strong results on related benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam. With end-of-August resolution approaching, trader consensus reflects limited room for major leaderboard shifts absent immediate competitor updates. A surprise model drop from OpenAI's GPT-5.6 line or Google that quickly gains arena votes could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such rapid reversals remain unlikely before the deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$86,103Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ETSumber Resolusi
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Fable 5 currently tops the Text Arena math subcategory with leading Elo-style scores around 1543, driving the 93% market-implied odds through consistent outperformance in user-voted comparisons on complex reasoning, problem-solving, and STEM prompts. Its edge stems from recent frontier releases emphasizing long-horizon agentic math workflows and strong results on related benchmarks like Humanity's Last Exam. With end-of-August resolution approaching, trader consensus reflects limited room for major leaderboard shifts absent immediate competitor updates. A surprise model drop from OpenAI's GPT-5.6 line or Google that quickly gains arena votes could narrow the gap, though historical patterns suggest such rapid reversals remain unlikely before the deadline.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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