Anthropic's strong positioning on LiveBench stems from recent releases like Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5, which have posted leading or near-leading scores on dynamic categories such as coding, agentic tasks, reasoning, and instruction following in mid-2026 snapshots. These models benefit from targeted improvements in tool use and multi-step problem solving, aligning closely with LiveBench's contamination-resistant design and monthly refreshes. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic's edge in consistent frontier performance over OpenAI's GPT-5.x and GPT-6 variants, despite the latter's competitive math and knowledge results. Chinese labs trail due to narrower gaps on overall averages, while upcoming October updates or new model drops remain the key swing factors before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 89%
OpenAI 8%
DeepSeek <1%
ByteDance <1%
$19,723 Vol.
$19,723 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
89%
OpenAI
8%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
1%
Alibaba
1%
Moonshot
1%
Nvidia
1%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
StepFun
1%
Z.ai
1%
Amazon
<1%
Meta
<1%
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Meituan
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 89%
OpenAI 8%
DeepSeek <1%
ByteDance <1%
$19,723 Vol.
$19,723 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$8,372 Vol.
89%
OpenAI
$2,824 Vol.
8%
DeepSeek
$427 Vol.
1%
ByteDance
$485 Vol.
1%
Alibaba
$378 Vol.
1%
Moonshot
$457 Vol.
1%
Nvidia
$491 Vol.
1%
MiniMax
$464 Vol.
1%
Mistral
$452 Vol.
1%
StepFun
$437 Vol.
1%
Z.ai
$425 Vol.
1%
Amazon
$473 Vol.
<1%
Meta
$474 Vol.
<1%
$403 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$486 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$485 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$438 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$437 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$417 Vol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$435 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$457 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's strong positioning on LiveBench stems from recent releases like Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5, which have posted leading or near-leading scores on dynamic categories such as coding, agentic tasks, reasoning, and instruction following in mid-2026 snapshots. These models benefit from targeted improvements in tool use and multi-step problem solving, aligning closely with LiveBench's contamination-resistant design and monthly refreshes. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic's edge in consistent frontier performance over OpenAI's GPT-5.x and GPT-6 variants, despite the latter's competitive math and knowledge results. Chinese labs trail due to narrower gaps on overall averages, while upcoming October updates or new model drops remain the key swing factors before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volume
$19,723Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic's strong positioning on LiveBench stems from recent releases like Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5, which have posted leading or near-leading scores on dynamic categories such as coding, agentic tasks, reasoning, and instruction following in mid-2026 snapshots. These models benefit from targeted improvements in tool use and multi-step problem solving, aligning closely with LiveBench's contamination-resistant design and monthly refreshes. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic's edge in consistent frontier performance over OpenAI's GPT-5.x and GPT-6 variants, despite the latter's competitive math and knowledge results. Chinese labs trail due to narrower gaps on overall averages, while upcoming October updates or new model drops remain the key swing factors before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$19,723Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's strong positioning on LiveBench stems from recent releases like Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5, which have posted leading or near-leading scores on dynamic categories such as coding, agentic tasks, reasoning, and instruction following in mid-2026 snapshots. These models benefit from targeted improvements in tool use and multi-step problem solving, aligning closely with LiveBench's contamination-resistant design and monthly refreshes. Trader consensus reflects Anthropic's edge in consistent frontier performance over OpenAI's GPT-5.x and GPT-6 variants, despite the latter's competitive math and knowledge results. Chinese labs trail due to narrower gaps on overall averages, while upcoming October updates or new model drops remain the key swing factors before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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