Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 71.5% for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October 2026, reflecting trader consensus around its Claude Opus and Fable series models' consistent edge in advanced mathematical reasoning and competition-style problem solving. Recent benchmark snapshots show Anthropic variants posting high scores in the category, supported by targeted improvements in chain-of-thought and symbolic reasoning capabilities that outpace broader leaderboard leaders. OpenAI trails at 19% amid strong but slightly behind results from GPT-5.x and o-series models on similar math tasks, while Google and others sit far lower due to fewer recent category-specific gains. Key catalysts ahead include any late-September or October model updates or fine-tunes from leading labs that could shift the dynamic leaderboard before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiAnthropic 73%
OpenAI 19%
Google 4.0%
SpaceXAI <1%
$23,124 Vol.
$23,124 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
73%
OpenAI
19%
4%
SpaceXAI
1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Anthropic 73%
OpenAI 19%
Google 4.0%
SpaceXAI <1%
$23,124 Vol.
$23,124 Vol.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$6,339 Vol.
73%
OpenAI
$6,848 Vol.
19%
$1,508 Vol.
4%
SpaceXAI
$563 Vol.
1%
Meta
$536 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$475 Vol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$479 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$586 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$454 Vol.
<1%
Thinky
$562 Vol.
<1%
MiniMax
$488 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$518 Vol.
<1%
StepFun
$459 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$514 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$286 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$390 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$858 Vol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$253 Vol.
<1%
Nvidia
$386 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$283 Vol.
<1%
Tencent
$339 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 71.5% for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October 2026, reflecting trader consensus around its Claude Opus and Fable series models' consistent edge in advanced mathematical reasoning and competition-style problem solving. Recent benchmark snapshots show Anthropic variants posting high scores in the category, supported by targeted improvements in chain-of-thought and symbolic reasoning capabilities that outpace broader leaderboard leaders. OpenAI trails at 19% amid strong but slightly behind results from GPT-5.x and o-series models on similar math tasks, while Google and others sit far lower due to fewer recent category-specific gains. Key catalysts ahead include any late-September or October model updates or fine-tunes from leading labs that could shift the dynamic leaderboard before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Volume
$23,124Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 71.5% for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October 2026, reflecting trader consensus around its Claude Opus and Fable series models' consistent edge in advanced mathematical reasoning and competition-style problem solving. Recent benchmark snapshots show Anthropic variants posting high scores in the category, supported by targeted improvements in chain-of-thought and symbolic reasoning capabilities that outpace broader leaderboard leaders. OpenAI trails at 19% amid strong but slightly behind results from GPT-5.x and o-series models on similar math tasks, while Google and others sit far lower due to fewer recent category-specific gains. Key catalysts ahead include any late-September or October model updates or fine-tunes from leading labs that could shift the dynamic leaderboard before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Volume
$23,124Tanggal Berakhir
Nov 1, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the strongest market-implied odds at 71.5% for the top LiveBench Mathematics score by end of October 2026, reflecting trader consensus around its Claude Opus and Fable series models' consistent edge in advanced mathematical reasoning and competition-style problem solving. Recent benchmark snapshots show Anthropic variants posting high scores in the category, supported by targeted improvements in chain-of-thought and symbolic reasoning capabilities that outpace broader leaderboard leaders. OpenAI trails at 19% amid strong but slightly behind results from GPT-5.x and o-series models on similar math tasks, while Google and others sit far lower due to fewer recent category-specific gains. Key catalysts ahead include any late-September or October model updates or fine-tunes from leading labs that could shift the dynamic leaderboard before resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan