Strong summer performance, capped by a record $4.76 billion from May through Labor Day, has positioned 2026 for a full-year domestic total near or above $10 billion—the first such milestone since before the pandemic. Blockbusters including Spider-Man: Brand New Day (nearing $923 million) and Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey (approaching $589 million) have driven much of the momentum, alongside Toy Story 5 and other franchise titles. With year-to-date grosses already at $7.3 billion, analysts project a final tally of roughly $10.2–10.3 billion. That range aligns with historical rankings from the early-to-mid 2010s, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probability to a 10th–12th finish. Upcoming Q4 releases such as Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Messiah will determine whether totals push higher or settle lower.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiWhere will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?
10th-12th 66%
6th or higher 21%
7th-9th 10%
Below 15th 4.8%
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
21%
7th-9th
10%
10th-12th
66%
13th-15th
5%
Below 15th
5%
10th-12th 66%
6th or higher 21%
7th-9th 10%
Below 15th 4.8%
BARU
BARU
Dec 31, 2026
6th or higher
$5,807 Vol.
21%
7th-9th
$769 Vol.
10%
10th-12th
$2,235 Vol.
66%
13th-15th
$289 Vol.
5%
Below 15th
$286 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong summer performance, capped by a record $4.76 billion from May through Labor Day, has positioned 2026 for a full-year domestic total near or above $10 billion—the first such milestone since before the pandemic. Blockbusters including Spider-Man: Brand New Day (nearing $923 million) and Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey (approaching $589 million) have driven much of the momentum, alongside Toy Story 5 and other franchise titles. With year-to-date grosses already at $7.3 billion, analysts project a final tally of roughly $10.2–10.3 billion. That range aligns with historical rankings from the early-to-mid 2010s, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probability to a 10th–12th finish. Upcoming Q4 releases such as Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Messiah will determine whether totals push higher or settle lower.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volume
$9,386Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong summer performance, capped by a record $4.76 billion from May through Labor Day, has positioned 2026 for a full-year domestic total near or above $10 billion—the first such milestone since before the pandemic. Blockbusters including Spider-Man: Brand New Day (nearing $923 million) and Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey (approaching $589 million) have driven much of the momentum, alongside Toy Story 5 and other franchise titles. With year-to-date grosses already at $7.3 billion, analysts project a final tally of roughly $10.2–10.3 billion. That range aligns with historical rankings from the early-to-mid 2010s, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probability to a 10th–12th finish. Upcoming Q4 releases such as Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Messiah will determine whether totals push higher or settle lower.
This market will resolve according to where 2026 ranks by total annual domestic box office gross among all years on record. The annual "Total Gross" figures found on the "Domestic Yearly Box Office" chart on Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/year/) will be used to resolve this market once the 2026 value is final.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
2026's rank will be determined against the figures for every other year listed on that same chart, such that the highest-grossing year on record ranks 1st, the second-highest ranks 2nd, and so on. This market will resolve to the bracket containing 2026's final rank.
This market will resolve according to unadjusted nominal gross. Inflation-adjusted figures, ticket sales, and admissions will not be used for resolution purposes.
This market will resolve according to the Box Office Mojo annual figures regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc., and regardless of whether a year's total includes grosses earned by films released in prior years.
If 2026's final figure is exactly equal to that of another year, 2026 will be treated as holding the higher-ranking (lower-numbered) of the tied positions for the purposes of determining its bracket.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$9,386Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 7, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong summer performance, capped by a record $4.76 billion from May through Labor Day, has positioned 2026 for a full-year domestic total near or above $10 billion—the first such milestone since before the pandemic. Blockbusters including Spider-Man: Brand New Day (nearing $923 million) and Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey (approaching $589 million) have driven much of the momentum, alongside Toy Story 5 and other franchise titles. With year-to-date grosses already at $7.3 billion, analysts project a final tally of roughly $10.2–10.3 billion. That range aligns with historical rankings from the early-to-mid 2010s, explaining why traders assign the highest implied probability to a 10th–12th finish. Upcoming Q4 releases such as Avengers: Doomsday and Dune: Messiah will determine whether totals push higher or settle lower.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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