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Politik·Big Beautiful Bill

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

icon for When will the reconciliation bill pass?
Politik·Big Beautiful Bill

When will the reconciliation bill pass?

July 1-6 99.8%

July 21-27 <1%

Aug 4-10 <1%

Aug 25-31 <1%

Polymarket

$273,877 Vol.

July 1-6 99.8%

July 21-27 <1%

Aug 4-10 <1%

Aug 25-31 <1%

Polymarket

$273,877 Vol.

Before July

$92,174 Vol.

No

July 1-6

$41,803 Vol.

Yes

July 7-13

$14,182 Vol.

No

July 14-20

$14,569 Vol.

No

July 21-27

$17,873 Vol.

No

July 28-Aug 3

$13,091 Vol.

No

Aug 4-10

$17,848 Vol.

No

Aug 11-17

$9,868 Vol.

No

Aug 18-24

$20,620 Vol.

No

Aug 25-31

$15,635 Vol.

No

Not before September

$16,212 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) within which the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress. The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) within which the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress.

The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority.

The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President.

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$273,877
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2025
Pasar Dibuka
May 20, 2025, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) within which the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress. The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) within which the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress. The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) within which the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress.

The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority.

The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President.

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$273,877
Tanggal Berakhir
Jun 30, 2025
Pasar Dibuka
May 20, 2025, 2:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the date range (ET) within which the next reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress. The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Hasil diajukan: No

Tidak ada sengketa

Hasil akhir: No

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"When will the reconciliation bill pass?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 11 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "July 1-6" di 100%, diikuti oleh "Before July" di 0%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "When will the reconciliation bill pass?" telah menghasilkan $273.9K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 20, 2025. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "When will the reconciliation bill pass?," jelajahi 11 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "When will the reconciliation bill pass?" adalah "July 1-6" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Before July" di 0%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "When will the reconciliation bill pass?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.